We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. Make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
This week we head over to the Zurich Classic at TPC Louisiana for a team-building event. So it’s safe to say that we will be having a very different event from the usual stroke play. 160 golfers will tee off, or in other words, 80 teams will compete against each other. This team event started back in 2017 and has been kicking since except for last year, of course, due to COVID. TPC Louisiana has eight holes with water in play, 106 sand bunkers, and nearly 2″ of rough.
TPC Louisiana is 7400 yards, par 72, played on Bermuda Greens. Pete Dye designed this course, so we’ll be relying on those stats from last week as a course comp. This week we’ll be looking at four par 5’s, making them the easiest on the course. These par 5’s have a birdie rate of 31-45%. On the contrary, there are seven holes that you must be careful with as they have a 16-22% bogey rate with minimal chances of double bogeys.
Just like last week, I’ll be eyeing players that are great on Driving Accuracy, Scrambling, Birdie or Better, and Approach shots. These stats will be heavily weighted this week as it’s essential in this course. One other thing to note in 2019 greens was the regression to TifEagle Bermuda Grass. The goal of recent renovations has been to ensure that the course drains more efficiently and enables the course to allow play quicker than before. Also, due note that the course lies mostly below sea level. Lastly, 2020-21 renovations involved the course’s bunkers with some restoration to their original shape. The larger fairway and greenside bunkers are now more miniature and more compartmentalized.
Each week our wizard CeeGee provides a massive Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All categorized on which player I like and in what format. Cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. Those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last four events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.
You must log in to post a comment.