Waste Management Phoenix Open DFS Course Preview for DraftKings & FanDuel 2021
We finish the California stretch and head to Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open DFS Course Preview for DraftKings & FanDuel 2021. This is by far one of my favorite events of the year. Sadly, this year due to COVID protocols, we will have 5,000 fans a day instead of the full house we usually have. Anyway, let’s begin this Course Preview.
This week we head over to beautiful Phoenix, Arizona, for the Waste Management Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale.129 players will be in the field for this desert classic. Except that this course doesn’t play like a true desert course. Also, this week we will (finally) have one course and not multiple courses to play. It’ll also be strange watching this week without 100,000 fans.
TPC Scottsdale is 7300 yards, and par 71 played on Bermuda greens. The course has three par 5’s in which are the easiest for birdies. They have a 38-44% birdie rate, but there’s also three par 4’s that have a 17-38% birdie rate as well. In contrast, there are four holes (7, 11, 12, and 14) that have a bogey rate of 17-19%. The fairways at TPC Scottsdale are wide for the most part. So, it’s not a requirement to keep it in the fairways as the rough is never deep or thick here. Alright, let’s get to the picks!
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Birdie or Better Percentage
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
- Strokes Gained: T2G
- Webb Simpson ($10100) – Webb is one of those guys that play extremely well here. On the Rise or Fall Study Hub, you’re able to see that in the last 9 years he’s been here, he’s only missed the cut twice! Top that off with a win last year, 2nd place finish in 2017 and has placed top 10 three times he becomes an excellent candidate. He also gains 0.27 strokes on Bermuda greens. In his last 5 starts, he’s gained 2.9 strokes T2G, 1.4 on APP, and 1 stroke OTT & ARG.
- Daniel Berger ($9600) – Berger is one of those guys that is always kind of under the radar, like our friend Webb. He’s in that Deki range, and I feel like he’ll be overlooked due to that. Deki has won it twice here, so I understand. But, Berger has a massive upside as well. Over on the Rise or Fall Study Hub, he’s placed 11th, 9th, and 7th in the last 4 years. And the last time he missed a cut was 12 events ago! he also gains 0.13 strokes on Bermuda greens.
- Justin Thomas ($10800) – JT has an amazing history besides the miss cuts in 2016 and 2017. If you look at the Rise or Fall Study Hub – he’s finished 3rd back to back (2020 & 2019) and 17th in 2018. Over on my model, JT is ranked 1st overall – 1st in T2G, BoB%, 2nd on APP, ARG, and Ball Striking. He is just one of those guys that have an arsenal of weapons for the Phoenix Open.
- Russell Henley ($8200) – Henley is one of those guys that is boom or bust. He either misses the cut or gets you a top 20 finish. But maybe this will put fears to rest – on my overall model Henley is ranked 2nd. 1st on APP, Ball Striking, and in Scrambling. Did I also mention he gains nearly 0.4 strokes on Bermuda Greens? : insert oh yea:
Dark Horse Play
- Henrik Norlander ($7500) – I’m not sure how overlooked Norlander will be this coming week after finishing 12th at the American Express and 2nd last week at Farmers. But it’s difficult to ignore how well he’s playing. He has no course history here, but on my overall model, he’s ranked 12th. And if we look at his last two events, he’s gained over 14 strokes T2G, 7 on APP, and over 4 strokes OTT.