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2023 PGA Sony Open DFS Picks – I Love Matt Kuchar

Sony Open DFS Picks

This week, we’re spending another week in paradise as Hawaii hosts the 2023 Sony Open! Something to pay attention to this week -Driving Accuracy. These fairways are pretty narrow and should your guy miss… he’s going to need to make it up Around the Greens. I’ve done the research using our member-exclusive StudyHub and I’ll be sharing my top Sony Open DFS Picks with you here. 

My goal isn’t to build your lineup for you, it’s to guide you by using my experience as a sports bettor and the membership tools available at Team Rise or Fall. Last week, my picks made us some money… so let’s do it again! With that being said… here are this week’s Sony Open DFS Picks (after a word from our sponsor). 

Members have access to the Team Rise or Fall PGA Study Hub, which I use heavily for my analysis here. My favorite feature is the PGA Stats Model Tab, which allows me to weigh Strokes Gained and other stats by importance for that particular week and see all new rankings.

All of our membership tiers come with Study Hub and Discord Access, however, only the *Monthly ALL Access* plan comes with a $20 monthly credit to Fantasy Cruncher. 

PGA Sony Open DFS Picks

Matt Kuchar

  • DraftKings $7.9
  • FanDuel $9.9

This is my second PGA season with Team Rise or Fall. If you’ve followed my content at all, you’ll know that I have a soft spot for Matty K. This pick has nothing to do with my fondness for Mr. Kind Eyes. It has everything to do with how well he plays here, the data leading up to this event, and his ability to absolutely tear it up in Strokes Gained Around the Green. 

Did I mention he’s pretty darn accurate too? I will absolutely be playing Matt Kuchar this week and so far, his rostership (10% ish) is low enough that he could differentiate even the chalkiest of lineups enough to enter the winner’s circle. I don’t recommend it though. The “chalk” that is. Kuch comes in 12 in my weighted rankings.  

JJ Spaun 

  • DraftKings $8.4
  • FanDuel $9.9

Yes, again. JJ Spaun happens to play well on shorter courses and that’s what we’ve got this week at the Sony Open! As we discussed with last week’s tournament, Strokes Gained Around the Greens is pretty important, alongside Driving Accuracy. Spaun has both of those tucked away in his arsenal. 

Rostership is likely to land around 15% on both platforms, so that puts this pick in the yellow, caution zone, but doesn’t deter me from lining him up in the least. It’s clear that other players on high on Spaun this week, hence the hike in salary and in rostership. That’s ok. I like his fit for this course. He comes in at 11th in my weighted adjustment.

Christiaan Bezuidenhout

  • DraftKings $8.1
  • FanDuel $9.7

With an enticingly low rostership percentage of around 7%… it would be hard not to play Bez this week. The South African is a great fit for this course. He ranks 4th in my personal weighted adjustment. I know I probably sound like a broken record, but it’s really something that I look at in my research. He’s excellent Around the Green, he’s accurate, and he’s putting great as if that adds a bit more incentive to roster him as part of my Sony Open DFS Picks. Oh! And he finished 17th in this event last year. 

Ryan Armour

  • DraftKings $6.9
  • FanDuel $7.5

This might be a total flier… but Ryan Armour has some pretty decent course history here over the years. In his last 5 appearances at this event, he’s made the cut in 4 of them and finished in the Top 25 two of those times.

As far as his skill set and how they apply to this course, he’s one of the most accurate drivers that I’ve mentioned in this article. Around the Green? He’s good. He’s fine. It’ll do. Lastly, he ranks 27th in my weighted adjustment, which isn’t too shabby. If you need a player to differentiate your lineup, Armour is only on 5% of DFS rosters at this time. 

Other Players to Consider (Here’s the chalk…)

  • Tom Kim. Landing 1st in my weighted rankings… Tom Kim is a solid pick to anchor your ship to. Over 30% of DFS players agree so far this week. 
  • Hideki Matsuyama. He’s the reigning champ from last year and he’s got some pretty good course history here. It’s hard to overlook him. And… don’t tell anyone, but his rostership is surprisingly low at around 5% or 6% when all is said and done. He doesn’t fair too well in my personal weighted rankings though, coming in at 25th.
  • Brendon Todd. He’s not chalky, but he does have the makings of a good sleeper pick! I like him for his mediocre course history, low salary, and low rostership. Here’s the fun part… he ranks 7th in my own personal adjustments that weigh ATG + Driving Accuracy heavily. Do with that what you will!

And that’s it! I hope that the research I’ve shared with you is helpful in building your lineups this week! Good luck, friend. Fairways and greens! xo

🏆 Hey Champ… Thanks so much for reading. If you have any questions, my DMs are open on Twitter @KellyInPhoenix. Don’t be a stranger, say “hello”!

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