Super Duper Bottom of the Barrel Wild Card Weekend Wide Receivers NFL DFS Breakdown
Super Duper Bottom of the Barrel Wild Card Weekend Wide Receivers NFL DFS Breakdown
One of the greatest weeks of the NFL season is upon us, Wild Card Weekend! As a true-blue football fan, the idea of anything happening on the biggest stage is exciting. On the flip side, after all the time, efforts, and battles it could all be over. Yet again, anything can happen!
As the NFL Playoffs start and carry-on Bottom of the Barrel will roll along with it! As teams are eliminated and the player pool becomes thinner, Bottom of the Barrel will morph and change. We have some time to enjoy all of it and that time starts now! Let’s talk about some Wild Card NFL DFS options!
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Justin Jefferson MIN vs. NYG(17th)(FD-$9,000)(DK-$8,400)(Y!-$37)
Let’s skip right to the punchline with Justin. This kid is other worldly and elite in every sense of the word. His regular season accomplishments are well documented and historic. Now, he embarks on another journey, a postseason journey. Not too long ago, Week 16, Jefferson caught 12 passes for 133 yards and a touchdown against these same New York Giants. To say he’s in for a big game would be an understatement. Quite frankly, it would be lazy. Yet, what more can we say about Justin? The term chalk could be used but also the term ‘must have’ is appropriate. We should expect 11-12 targets, 7-8 receptions, 100+ yards, and a touchdown. Mind you, the yardage and touchdown predictions are all floor numbers. @JJETS is a real good bet for 2+ touchdowns!
Isaiah Hodgins NYG @ MIN(31st)(FD-$6,400)(DK-$4,100)(Y!-$20)
Two ideas here with I-Hod this week. First, I am not a fan of his price tag on FanDuel and Yahoo. Yet, Isaiah has seen 33 total targets the last five games. While catching 25 of them for 250 yards and 4 touchdowns. So, on paper the player’s salary makes sense across the board. It is just a matter of pulling the trigger. Personally, the over/under of 48.5 points seems low based on my totals and game final. Meaning, stacking up the New York Giants is good move. Heck, stacking up the Vikings as well makes sense. Let’s start with Hodgins and move along. I’m thinking 5-6 targets, 4-5 receptions, and around 45 yards.
Adam Thielen MIN vs. NYG(17th)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$4,400)(Y!-$15)
K.J. Osborn MIN vs. NYG(17th)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$4,500)(Y!-$16)
I’m going to run both Minnesota boys concurrent as we stay with the idea of stacking up Giants and Vikings. The days of Adam being that sure fire 100 yards a game reception guy is all over. That doesn’t mean he still cannot serve a purpose. On the other hand, Osborn remains a juicy option in game where most folks might just skip past him. I’m not saying the combo of Adam/K.J. is better than Jefferson straight up. However, in a massive GPP the idea of fading JJ for ownership percentage reasons could be a thing. I assume you’re going to make a ton of lines with JJ but if we’re going to take another route let’s stack up Kirk with Adam and KJ. I have Adam around 6-7 targets, 4-5 receptions, 40 yards, and a touchdown. When it comes to Osborn almost an identical stat line at 6-7 targets, 4-5 receptions, and 50 yards.
Zay Jones JAX vs. LAC(5th)(FD-$6,300)(DK-$4,300)(Y!-$14)
Very tough match-up for the Jaguars overall this week against the Chargers. If we truly believe that Trevor Lawrence has broken out and this Jacksonville Jaguars team is serious then let’s back all their offensive skill positional players. Starting with Zay Jones! I have used that roulette analogy one too many times, but it applies here. If red has come up 15 times in a row, then I am going to bet on black next spin. So, look, Zay has combined for only 8 catches and 59 yards in the last three weeks. The Chargers run the most man coverage on defense while Lawrence has become one of the better QBs against man coverage. While Kirk works out of the slot the idea of Zay and even tight-end Evan Engram seeing one-on-one coverage is likely. I have Jones at 7-8 targets, 5-6 receptions, 55 yards, and a touchdown. “The crowd is just on its feet here. He’s a Cinderella boy, tears in his eyes, I guess, as he lines up this last shot.” Quote taken from Bill Murray in Caddyshack as the Jaguars, to me, are a great Cinderella story.
Richie James Jr. NYG @ MIN(31st)(FD-$6,100)(DK-$3,900)(Y!-$20)
Richie is one of those players that we keep going back to the well with and why not? James Jr. has been an outstanding fantasy WR the last few weeks of the regular season and I see no reason why he won’t continue to be the Giants top underneath threat against a beatable Vikings secondary. The last four-week Richie has seen 32 targets, 26 receptions, 269 yards, and scored two touchdowns. It’s just one of those things where when you see it you accept it and carry on with it. The old ride it till’ the wheels fall off type rationale. So, let’s count on 6-7 targets, 4-5 receptions, 50 yards, and a touchdown catch!
Tyler Boyd CIN vs. BAL(20th)(FD-$6,000)(DK-$4,000)(Y!-$14)
Of all the professional teams in the NFL the Bengals, to me, have the clearest pecking order on offense. Which isn’t a bad thing! At full strength and full speed Tyler Boyd fits beautifully as the team’s wide receiver three. With defenses having to focus so much on Chase, Higgins, Mixon, and even Hurst to an extent Tyler Boyd is an afterthought. News recently broke that Ravens quarterback Lamar Jackson will not be active this week and that’s bad news for Baltimore. In real life the Bengals have been playing well and should roll right over the Ravens. Meaning, everybody should fill the box score. I have Tyler at 6-7 targets, 5-6 receptions, and 55-60 yards.
Darius Slayton NYG @ MIN(31st)(FD-$5,800)(DK-$4,200)(Y!-$17)
Darius is the last piece of our New York Giants stack if you want in. Once again, I like most of the overs in this game including the game total of 48.5. Slayton has become a favorite target of Daniel Jones and I know that doesn’t mean much given the low volume passing attack but still holds some value. He is hard to trust and has only scored twice this season, but all bets are off given the fact it’s Wild Card Weekend. As both teams continue to score and hang large yardage totals, I think it’s safe to say 7-8 targets, 4-5 receptions, and 65-70 yards for Darius on Sunday.
Michael Gallup DAL @ TB(24th)(FD-$5,600)(DK-$3,700)(Y!-$14)
Such a weird occurrence here with Gallup and it’s not even about him. It’s about starting quarterback Dak Prescott. After CeeDee Lamb the rest of this offense goes as Dak goes and he can single handedly sink this entire offense. Which he has done on a few occasions, specifically last week in Washington. Now they head to Tampa to battle Tom Brady and God only knows what this game is going to look like. I always speak from an optimistic point of view and mentioning Gallup here is testing that faith! All because Michael hasn’t topped four receptions or 40 yards since Week 12. Yet, Gallup’s only saving grace is the fact he has scored three touchdowns in his last six games. As we set out to build DFS lines for this weekend I would not start with any Cowboy’s but look to mix-and-match them around our already built teams. Let’s pencil Gallup in for 6-7 targets, 3-4 receptions, and 45 yards. To be clear, Michael needs to score a touchdown to be of ang use.
Russell Gage TB vs. DAL(26th)(FD-$5,400)(DK-$3,800)(Y!-$17)
We will know quickly what kind of game this is going to be. Meaning, if TB12 is on point early on then that bodes well for the likes for a secondary option such as Russ Gage. A lot to take in with this game. Personally, it’s beautiful for narratives and opinion pieces. As much as I love to talk and write it’s bugging me that I cannot get into all of it. Well, not on a Russell Gage blurb at least. They say the NFL Playoffs is where good teams cut the fat, get dialed in, and execute to perfection. Over the last 15 years no one has lived up to that ideal more than Tom Brady. On most other teams Gage would be an afterthought or inactive on street clothes, but Tom can support multiple WR’s, multiple TE’s, and multiple RB’s. Again, we will know within the first 10 minutes whether Gage was a smart move. Are you willing to take that chance? This Dallas defense has given up the most WR touchdowns and the most fantasy points to WRs since Week 15. Oh boy. It is all there for the Buccaneers to take.
Jamal Agnew JAX vs. LAC(5th)(FD-$4,900)(DK-$3,000)(Y!-$10)
Agnew has a shoulder injury that kept him limited for all three Jags practices this week. I do not know how well that looks for him playing football Saturday, but we shall see. The only reason I mention him here is the fact he’s their kick/punt returner and they love to manufacture plays for him. That is what we should be after in DFS formats. Those few gadget plays a game that Agnew handles. I find this Jacksonville team to be dangerous headed into the postseason as they have nothing to lose. They are a year or two ahead of schedule, so I believe anything goes on offense for this coaching staff. Like getting Jamal in space on reverses or screens. No more than a punt play but one that could pay dividends in the right DFS entry!
If you missed my Wild Card Weekend QB Bottom of the Barrel look no further! It is right here! Just click the link! Enjoy! http://bit.ly/BeastieWCqbBB
Or if you missed the Wild Card Weekend RB Bottom of the Barrel it is right here! http://bit.ly/BeastieWCrbBB
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