Top DraftKings PGA DFS Picks For the WGC-Dell Match Play 2022
Top DraftKings PGA DFS Picks For the WGC-Dell Match Play 2022
I sure am glad that the cold streak I have been suffering through has been survivable because of the tools and analytics from Team Rise or Fall. When you sign up for your premium subscription, use promo code: Bo to get $10 off your initial payment. I have had some great success picking winners, but my core picks are on a nasty missed cuts streak. With transparency in mind, I am super glad we have reached the WGC-Dell Match Play.
This unique event is held at Austin Country Club in Austin, Texas. 64 golfers are set to tee off on Wednesday in 16 groups of four. Group play is round robin, similar to the World Cup. The most successful golfer from each group advances to the “sweet 16” and the weekend of single-elimination match play. March Madness on the links is very reminiscent of the Ryder Cup, in that the match play format brings out different characteristic from the competing golfers.
This is the one tournament where I toss advanced metrics and analytics completely out the window. As a former competitive golfer, I understand that match play requires both solid golf and a mental toughness to triumph your opponent instead of par.
Because of the unique structure of the group play and bracket, I will still bring you six golfers to target. The difference will be that I will have four of them I expect to advance in their respective “regions” and two value plays who I expect to escape group play and provide leverage against the field.
Scoring is also different. DraftKings is the only site that is hosting contests for the WGC-Dell Match Play. The other sites are carrying on with the Puntacana Championship, which is the PGA Tour’s event with a lesser field because the best in the world are competing in Austin.
Instead of scoring on score results like birdies and eagles, players will be awarded points on holes won, match wins, and holes left unplayed after a win. To win at PGA DFS on this week, you will need to build your lineups around the golfers who win matches and advance in the bracket more than anything. Here are the six I have the most faith in. Let’s tee off.
Stick it Close: Studs to Target
Justin Thomas ($10,700)
Justin Thomas is simply one of the best golfers in the world. He is also one of the most polished competitors in this field. My main appeal to spending up on JT here is that his region of the bracket is not chocked full of incredible golfers like the other three are. I feel extremely confident that he will prevail in his group and reach the final four. Austin Country Club is a shot maker’s course, where the bold are rewarded with many birdie opportunities. Thomas is the exact type of player I expect to take advantage of his favorable draw and compete for the trophy over the weekend.
Xander Schauffele ($9,600)
Where JT received a relatively easy draw, Schauffele did not. He is mixed in with some absolute studs in his regional bracket, including Collin Morikawa, Abraham Ancer, and Tony Finau. Finau is in Schauffele’s round robin group, as well. The appeal of Schauffele to me is his recent form, combined with his sub-$10k salary on DraftKings and his reputation as an unrelenting competitor.
The randomness from a bracket format prevents me from worrying too much about expected roster percentages this week. Even if Schauffele was considered a popular option, I have him as a dark horse to win the entire tournament. I expect his regional opponents to get worn down by their tougher group draws, which could work out very favorably for him to advance.
Tyrrell Hatton ($9,200)
It’s no secret that Europeans are good at match play. There is too long of a Ryder Cup resume to ignore the exploits. If one were to combine the desired characteristics to create the perfect match play competitor, they would come up with Hatton. The Englishman is as intense as he is skilled.
His recent form lends me to trust that he will emerge from his group and provide a great deal of leverage on the field by advancing further. Some people (yours truly) have him advancing all the way to the final match on Sunday. His main deterrent will be from his own group, with Daniel Berger.
Will Zalatoris ($8,600)
Zalatoris is another interesting play in this tournament. He is a bona fide birdie-making machine, which will make him an absolute nightmare to keep up with in match play. He also drew what I consider to be an extremely favorable group, with Viktor Hovland, Cameron Tringale, and Sepp Straka.
Hovland may be the favorite to advance, but his erratic short game figures to be a match play liability. Tringale has really slumped this season and Straka has made a lot of money off of one strong back nine at the Honda. Zalatoris is primed to win a couple more knockout matches should he advance from his group.
No Gimme: Tap-In Values
Talor Gooch ($7,700)
Anyone who has the time and audacity to clap back at people hating on Twitter is my kind of competitor in the WGC-Dell Match Play. Gooch is also riding some very strong play this season. Another notch in his belt is the very favorable group drawing, with a hobbled and whiny Bryson DeChambeau as the “favorite.” Lee Westwood is an old stalwart in match play, but his recent form hasn’t been good. The other Englishman, Richard Bland, has matched his recent form to his last name.
Gooch is very likely to breeze through this group and advance to the knockout stage. Any wins past group play will be a bonus for bargain players. If Dustin Johnson fails to advance in his group, Gooch stands a good chance to keep advancing further.
Justin Rose ($6,900)
With only 64 golfers in this event, It was difficult to find bargains that I could foresee advancing out of the group stages. Who better than the sharpshooting Englishman, Rose? I don’t expect much fanfare at all to follow Rose in the way of chalk. His only two missed cuts of the season have come in his last two events.
Rose is the type of golfer who can flip a switch when the chips are down in match play. His group is brutally tough, with Jordan Spieth, Adam Scott, and Keegan Bradley. Rose should still be able to hold his own in Austin and score plenty enough DFS points to justify the roster spot.
I will be with you for an entire PGA Tour season of DFS picks. I hope you join me in victory throughout 2022 and beyond. I promise to be a better DFS golfer than an actual golfer. You can find all of my musings on Twitter. Good luck and hit ’em straight!