Top DraftKings PGA DFS Picks for the WM Phoenix Open 2022
Top DraftKings PGA DFS Picks for the WM Phoenix Open 2022
Unfortunately, the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am did not transpire how I expected. Although a couple of my picks were right in the thick of things, the others were flops. In fact, Cameron Tringale torpedoed 40% of my builds with his dreadful play, en route to an embarrassing missed cut. Thankfully, I had added my six guys to the Team Rise or Fall Player Pool that Benitt put together into my Fantasy Cruncher lineup builder. This allowed me to cash a respectable amount from a few optimal lineups, so my weekend wasn’t washed away in the salty waves of Northern California (and my tears).
PGA DFS is similar to other DFS sports, in that tournament play hardly guarantees a weekly profit. In fact, I was tickled pink to have ended up in the black after the first four tournaments. Although I would have loved to rake it in from my “home tournament,” such is the unforgiving nature of the beast. Like a closer in baseball, it’s better to have a short memory.
The PGA Tour moves from California to the Arizona desert for the WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale. The Phoenix Open has long been a favorite for the pros, with pristine golf conditions and the largest, most raucous galleries on Tour. You might recall the famous 16th hole, a par-3 encapsulated in stadium seating. The crowd there consists of well-lubricated Arizona State students and resembles the outfield bleachers at Dodger Stadium at a day game. It’s rowdy and uncouth, but it’s Scottsdale and makes for the best television entertainment in golf.
This is also the first tournament in a few weeks where the players only traverse one course. There is also a return to a standard 36-hole cut of the top-65 players (including ties). TPC Scottsdale is just over 7,200 yards with Bermuda grass throughout. Although not normally challenged by the course conditions, players often have their mettle tested by the unique atmosphere and pressure brought on by hundreds of thousands of patrons walking the grounds.
My player pool will consist of 25-35 golfers. I will have two or three who I will cap at 40-50% exposure, then fill in the rest of the pool on Fantasy Cruncher to make 20 unique lineups. Here are the top six golfers that I will be featuring the most in my personal builds this week.
Stick it Close: Studs to Target
Jon Rahm (DK: $11,600; FD: $12,100; Y!: $51)
Not only is Rahm the number-one ranked player in the World Golf Ranking, he is an Arizona State alum. The crowds will be on his side, fervently cheering for his recent form to translate into some newfound success at the WM Phoenix Open. Although he hasn’t been as incredible in this tournament, Rahm has no weaknesses in his game.
His recent form has also been spectacular. He will be a popular pick on every DFS site, even at the very top of the price heap. TPC Scottsdale is virtually defenseless against the best golfers. Rahm is the best and has potential to not only win, but put on a show for the adoring fans from his alma mater.
Viktor Hovland (DK: $10,200; FD: $11,700; Y!: $46)
Even though Justin Thomas will likely make my player pool, he is likely too rich for my blood in conjunction with Rahm. Hovland is reminiscent of a young Jon Rahm, as wildly talented as he is fiery and emotional. The appeal to Hovland this week is his unbridled ability to make birdies and eagles, which are the fastest way to rack up DFS points.
At his salary, especially on DraftKings, his ability to score is equal to or greater than everyone who will cost more to roster. There is a reason why household names generally win here. TPC Scottsdale rewards great play from tee to green. It’s usually the best players in the world who give themselves the most birdie opportunities here.
Seamus Power (DK: $8,400; FD: $10,500; Y!: $35)
The young Irishman is taking the PGA Tour by storm this season. He has already tallied finishes of 15th, 4th, 14th, and 9th in his four tournament starts in 2022. Over that stretch, Power has eclipsed 100 DraftKings points in every single one. Power is also inexplicably $900 cheaper to roster on DraftKings this week than he was at Pebble Beach last week.
Since I am asking “what have you done for me lately?” with my player pool for the WM Phoenix Open, Power’s recent form trumps all the chalk he might incur. His game from tee to green has been exemplary all the way back to October of 2021. You never walk away from the table when you’re on a heater. If Power keeps hovering around the top of the leaderboard long enough, he might just stumble upon a trophy.
No Gimme: Tap-In Values
Si-Woo Kim (DK: $7,500; FD: $9,200; Y!: $34)
After last week’s debacle with a sure bet (Tringale) missing the cut in epically-tragic fashion, I might be overreacting with this pick. Kim is a cut-making machine. There is a close relationship with that and his ability to make birdies and avoid three-putts. Kim is also extremely good off the tee (35th in strokes gained).
The only real danger at TPC Scottsdale is the prevalence of many fairway sand traps and water hazards. Kim is also a decently long hitter, so his approaches on this track will be with shorter clubs in hand. Where I don’t really expect Kim to put much heat on the top of the leaderboard, he is a screaming value for someone so likely to see the weekend. He has finished 11th in each of his last two starts (at higher salaries). Another top-15 finish for the Korean would be fantastic.
Pat Perez (DK: $7,100; FD: $9,300; Y!: 20)
Wouldn’t you know that the two lower-priced golfers in my pool are both former Arizona State Sun Devils. Perez is absolutely adored at TPC Scottsdale and has performed well at the WM Phoenix Open for many years. Before Perez’s grand West Coast Swing stagecoach turns into a pumpkin when the Tour heads to Florida, put him in your lineups on the cheap and hope his recent hot streak (6th at Torrey Pines, 9th at Pebble Beach) continues at his old stomping grounds in the desert.
Chez Reavie (DK: $6,800; FD: $8,200; Y!: $20)
No, Reavie hasn’t been terribly amazing of late. He is, however, another Arizona State alum who will have over a half million boisterous supporters behind him at “The People’s Open.” Reavie measures up well with the golf course, as well. He finished 4th in 2019 and lost in a playoff in 2018 to finish 2nd. He narrowly missed the weekend in each of the last two years.
Reavie is 7th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained on approach and 19th in driving accuracy, but Reavie is still under $7k on DraftKings for a reason. If you’re desperately diving into this murky water hazard in search of a Pro-V1, he stands a good chance of making the weekend and maybe hitting a beer bong as he approaches the 16th green yelling Forks Up!
For the best information on each player in the field to give you that winning edge, make sure you hit up the PGA DFS Study Hub!
I will be with you for an entire PGA Tour season of DFS picks. I hope you join me in victory throughout 2022 and beyond. I promise to be a better DFS golfer than an actual golfer. You can find all of my musings on Twitter. Good luck and hit ’em straight!