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Top DraftKings PGA DFS Plays for the Mexico Open 2022

Draftkings PGA DFS Picks

Top DraftKings PGA DFS Plays for the Mexico Open 2022

For many PGA DFS regulars, last week was a chance to take a few low-risk shots at the Zurich Classic. The unique format, however, made the event a total crapshoot. It was a fruitful endeavor on the betting side, as I cashed in with the Schauffele/Cantlay team’s victory and a top-10 finish from the Zalatoris/Riley pairing. Those guys were in my DFS lineups, but most of those were destroyed when Mito Pereira injured his back and forced the Chilean group of him and Joaquin Niemann to withdraw. Luckily, I hadn’t invested very heavily in arguably the worst stop along the PGA Tour.

Arriba! This week, the Tour brings a strong field south of the border for the Mexico Open in picturesque Puerto Vallarta. The Vidanta Vallarta course is brand new to the PGA Tour, making past performance in this event irrelevant. The par-71 course was extended by 250 yards (to 7,456) and hazards added in preparation for the greatest players in the world. A record 10 golfers in the field are Mexican countrymen, including Abraham Ancer and Carlos Ortiz. The Rise or Fall PGA Study Hub is your one-stop shop for all the pertinent data to help build the optimal DFS lineups.

The key metrics I will be using to create my player pool will be weighted toward recent form, then filtered by Strokes Gained Tee to Green (SG:T2G) and Total Strokes Gained per round. Successful use of DFS best practices will also require my attention to projected points per salary dollar and projected roster percentage (to maximize leverage).

You can access all of the same wallet-fattening DFS data and analytics by subscribing to the premium content at Team Rise or Fall. Use Promo Code: Bo to receive a $10 discount on your first payment. Membership also includes a $20 voucher to Fantasy Cruncher, where I populate my player pools and lineups quickly and easily.

The marquee golfer in the Mexico Open field is Spaniard, Jon Rahm. He is aptly priced at the top of the salary board, but tends to move lethargically around easier resort courses like this one. I will likely take a couple shots at him, but will be weighted heavier down the board with more leveraged players. Overall, I expect to only be a tiny bit more invested this week than I was last week. Let’s tee off.

Top DraftKings PGA DFS Plays for the Mexico Open 2022

Stick it Close: Studs to Target

Sebastian Munoz (DK: $9,800; FD: $11,000; Y!: $33)

The Colombian is having a fantastic season, with three top-5 finishes and five consecutive top-40s leading into this week. Munoz averages better than four birdies per round and is a hot flatstick away from torching a course like Vidanta. With glitzier names above him on the salary scale who will also be sporting higher roster percentages, Munoz is a sneaky bet for an outright winner and a wonderful high-upside leverage play in DFS. The value on Yahoo is so great that he is a lock on that platform.

Chris Kirk (DK: $9,600; FD: $10,800; Y!: $38)

Although Kirk is limping into Mexico with two missed cuts in his last three starts, he has excelled this season on longer tracks. Kirk also only trails Rahm in SG:T2G in this field. He also slipped in just over my 3.8 birdies per round threshold, with that number much higher on courses with a par over 70. Kirk will likely be less rostered because of those recent missed cuts. This is certainly a riskier play, but one with oodles of upside.

Aaron Wise (DK: $9,500; FD: $10,700; Y!: $37)

Wise is similar to Kirk, in that he has a couple recent missed cuts that might leave DFS players with an acrid taste in their mouth. His most recent start was a very nice 21st place finish at the RBC Heritage. Wise is sixth in this field in SG:T2G and averages exactly four birdies per round. He stands to pile on a good number of fantasy points this week without a ton of fanfare. I’ll be looking for Wise to push the top of the leaderboard all week at a moderate roster percentage.

No Gimme: Tap-In Values

Mark Hubbard (DK: $8,000; FD: $9,600; Y!: $21)

Hubbard is a golfer who has gone from a complete unknown to a relative unknown over the last couple of months. I have had him in the player pool twice this season and he made the cut both times. Between the Korn Ferry Tour and PGA Tour this season, he has made 10/13 cuts. Vidanta is a course that resembles a lot of the resort venues hosted on the KFT and Hubbard has shown the ability to make torrents of birdies and eagles. At his price, I only need a made cut with benefits. He is capable of doing much more than that with minimal popularity.

Greyson Sigg (DK: $7,300; FD: $8,700; Y!: $26)

Sigg is one of the most consistently average (but consistent) players on Tour this season. He has yet to push himself inside of the top-25 this season, but has also only missed one cut. His strongest outings the past couple of years have come on resort courses in Mexico, Hawaii, and Bermuda. The metrics don’t really jump off the stat sheet for Sigg, but a made cut with some style points at his salary opens up a world of possibilities at the top of your roster builds.

Robert Garrigus (DK: $6,600; FD: $7,100; Y!: $22)

On the other side of the coin from Sigg is Garrigus. Garrigus is a statistical darling, but about as consistent as my aunt’s porridge. He has only four starts to his name this season with four made cuts and is fourth in this field with 4.13 birdies per round. Garrigus’ advanced stats are wild and enigmatic. He is outstanding on approach and around the green, but awful off the tee and with a putter in hand. Rostering Garrigus this week at $6.6k on DraftKings is a major risk/reward. He might spend the weekend at the beach after missing the cut by ten shots. It is also possible for Garrigus to string a few low rounds together and contend this week.

I will be with you for an entire PGA Tour season of DFS picks. I hope you join me in victory throughout 2022 and beyond. I promise to be a better DFS golfer than an actual golfer. You can find all of my musings on Twitter. Good luck and hit ’em straight!