Top DraftKings PGA DFS Plays for the RBC Canadian Open 2022
Top DraftKings PGA DFS Plays for the RBC Canadian Open 2022
Last week at the Memorial was a massive success for the PGA DFS players who subscribe to Team Rise or Fall. My top two value plays at Muirfield Village were champion Billy Horschel and runner-up Aaron Wise. 15 of my 20 lineups had at least five golfers make the cut and were bankroll-building all weekend. With the US Open on the horizon next week, I’ll still be pretty conservative with my exposure to the RBC this week.
The RBC Canadian Open is a nice tournament, with a few of the top golfers in the world using the event as a tuneup for the US Open at Brookline next week. The most noteworthy change this year is the venue. The RBC returns to picturesque St. George’s Golf and Country Club on the outskirts of Toronto.
St. George’s is on the short list for the finest golf courses in Canada, but it will be interesting to see if it plays to a PGA Tour-level of difficulty. The course is narrow and tree-lined, but stretches out to just barely more than 7,000 yards. The new green complexes are bentgrass and rumors are circulating that the rough has been grown out longer to apply some semblance of friction for these world-class players.
To attack the PGA DFS slate, I am using the Rise or Fall PGA Study Hub to compile an ultra-condensed 20-man player pool. To access the Study Hub, along with a myriad of DFS tools and metrics for every sport, sign up here with Promo Code: Bo for $10 off your initial payment. You’ll also receive a $20 credit toward Fantasy Cruncher, the gold standard in lineup-generating sites.
The most pertinent stats to formulating my pool for the RBC Canadian Open are Strokes Gained Off the Tee (SG: OTT), Strokes Gained Around the Green (SG: ATG), and Par-3 scoring on holes 180-plus yards long. The par-3 scoring will be key, with five such holes on this par-70 course. Finish chugging your maple syrup, crack a LaBatt’s, and let’s tee off.
Stick It Close: Studs to Target
Justin Thomas (DK: $10,900; FD: $12,000; Y!: $49)
Many key words kept surfacing when researching for this tournament. “Target Golf” made me think of Justin Thomas. “Small green complexes”…Justin Thomas. “Five long and demanding Par-3s” you guessed it, Justin Thomas. JT has been on a torrid run of dominance this season, culminating with him hoisting the Wannamaker trophy last month. Statistically speaking, JT is such a good play that it’s puzzling to imagine him under 15% rostership.
Sam Burns (DK: $10,000; FD: $11,700; Y!: $46)
In a PGA Tour season marked with the Scottie Scheffler breakout story and the resurgence of Jordan Spieth, Sam Burns has stealthily climbed to ninth in the Official World Golf Rankings on the heels of three impressive tournament wins.
I am overlooking his two “weakest” stats being SG:OTT and SG:ATG because they are still positive. In every other meaningful stat, Burns is among the absolute best in the world, including putting on bentgrass surfaces. When a guy like this is projected to fall under 10% rostered, you lock him in.
Adam Hadwin (DK $9,300; FD: $10,100; Y!: $37)
The cheeky moniker for the 34-year old Canadian in the Rise or Fall Discord Channel is “HadLose.” He has certainly burned us before, but I’m back to the well with Hadwin this week in his native country’s Open. Don’t necessarily assume I’m just shoe-horning Canadians into my builds.
Hadwin is from the west coast of British Columbia and the RBC is eastward in the Province of Ontario, so we must support his existence with stats. Although Hadwin is neutral in SG: OTT, he is very strong on approach, around the greens, and putting on bentgrass. He is an accurate player without a lot of length. This is the type of course (and event) where he thrives.
Other Studs in My Pool: Rory McIlroy, Cameron Smith, Tyrrell Hatton, Corey Conners, Tony Finau, Sahith Theegala, Rasmus Hojgaard, Chris Kirk
No Gimme: Tap-In Values
Mark Hubbard (DK: $7,900; FD: $8,700; Y!: $21)
Hubbard has been a key value play for most of this season. He has delivered more often than not. DraftKings has caught on to his strong form and moved him up into borderline “stud” pricing. On FanDuel and Yahoo!, Hubbard is an absolutely smashing value.
The one stat that doesn’t favor Hubbard is SG: OTT, but that is weighted with driving distance. Hubbard is among the shortest hitters in this field, but is excellent around the greens and on approach. His recent form, as mentioned, has also been very good.
JJ Spaun (DK: $7,700; FD: $9,000; Y!: $32)
The thing with Spaun is he is not for everyone. Although slightly more dynamic off the tee than guys like Hubbard, he doesn’t jump off the stat sheet with anything except consistency. If the conditions in Toronto stay mild, the scoring could resemble the Valero Texas Open. This is noteworthy because Spaun won the Valero Texas Open. Having the consistency to make cuts regularly and the firepower to win a birdie fest are wonderful qualities to have in a PGA DFS value play.
Brice Garnett (DK: $6,700; FD: $7,700; Y!: $20)
I find it funny that I am compelled to research way more for a tournament where I’ll have less exposure. Guys like Brice Garnett would never be on my radar if this were a more prominent event on the Tour. The pickings are slim this week, so I went deep sea diving. Garnett popped up well in par-3 scoring, putting on bentgrass, and especially scrambling. With smaller greens, it will be difficult to maintain a high percentage of greens in regulation.
The golfers who can get up and down well and score on the five par-3 holes will have the best chance of making the cut. At his extreme value price, Garnett making the weekend would be a cherry on top of the roster-building flexibility he already provides.
Other Values in My Pool: Aaron Rai, Austin Smotherman, Alex Smalley, Drew Lipsky, Doug Ghim, Callum Tarren,
I will be with you for an entire PGA Tour season of DFS picks. I hope you join me in victory throughout 2022 and beyond. I promise to be a better DFS golfer than an actual golfer. You can find all of my musings on Twitter. Good luck and hit ’em straight!
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