Top DraftKings PGA DFS Plays for the RBC Heritage 2022
Top DraftKings PGA DFS Plays for the RBC Heritage 2022
Masters week was a raging success for Team Rise and Fall and I. Nearly my entire player pool made the cut, including all six from last week’s article. Three of those gentlemen finished in the top six! I am not so much fearing a post-azalea hangover this week as I am awaiting certain weary golfers to withdraw. It will be important to check lineups up to the moment of lock this week. Major championships, especially the hilly trudge through Augusta National, takes a lot out of gas tank.
The dominant win by white-hot Scottie Scheffler leads us to the RBC Heritage at Harbour Town Golf Links in Hilton Head Island, South Carolina.
Harbour Town is another shot maker’s type of course, but is considerably shorter than Augusta at 7,100 yards. Stewart Cink was the victor by four strokes in 2021 over Harold Varner III, coasting on the weekend after back-to-back rounds of 63. The Heritage field is considerably strong, as this is more of an iconic Tour stop than a rugged challenge.
To get all of the data models and advanced stats you’ll need to dominate every DFS sport, join Team Rise or Fall here. Make sure to use Promo Code: Bo for $10 off your first payment. It also gives premium access to Fantasy Cruncher to build out your lineups with a $20 monthly credit for members of our team.
The RBC Heritage is a return to a full field of 132 golfers and as such, I will broaden my player pool accordingly. The key statistics that correlate the strongest to success here are Strokes Gained on approach, proximity on approach, and birdie conversion rate.
The scoring will be a release of the floodgates after the players were daunted with Augusta’s twisted version of fair playing conditions. Harbour Town is a short, narrow test that will demand precision and accuracy from the players to score low enough to remain in contention and to yield us those precious DFS points. For an expansive look at the field and all the relevant data to form your player pool, check out the PGA Study Hub. Without further delay. let’s tee off.
Stick it Close: Studs to Target
Collin Morikawa (DK: $10,200; FD: $11,800; Y!: $48)
Any time a course requires great iron play, I get an involuntary twitch to the former Cal Bear, Morikawa. I will definitely have a hefty helping of Justin Thomas and Cameron Smith this week (for the same reason), but they carry a higher price tag than Morikawa on DraftKings for the same upside. Morikawa finished T-7 last year at the RBC Heritage, further solidifying his presence as an analytical favorite this week.
Matt Fitzpatrick (DK: $9,500; FD: $10,800; Y!: $39)
The Englishman, Fitzpatrick, seems to always be in the hunt on courses like Harbour Town. Analytically speaking, he is a strokes gained dynamo. His runner-up finish at last year’s RBC Heritage was a shot over the bow for the field this week. Fitz is 13th on Tour in strokes gained on approach and leads the field in total strokes gained per round. The 27-year old is on the precipice of his first win on the PGA Tour after seven victories internationally. His next step is to make more birdies and put the final piece of the puzzle into place.
Russell Henley (DK: $9,000; FD: $10,500; Y!: $37)
I love Henley’s game. Not only has he made the cut in all 13 starts this season, but he leads this field in strokes gained on approach. Henley is also toward the top in total strokes gained and finished T-9 at the Heritage last year after going eight under par on the weekend. Another solidifying factor in maxing out my exposure this week is his 13th place finish at the PLAYERS. Harbour Town is like an easier version of TPC Sawgrass. Henley checks every single box this week, especially in the value department for DFS.
No Gimme: Tap-In Values
Maverick McNealy (DK: $7,900; FD: $9,800; Y!: $35)
At the rate that McNealy is hitting value on DFS this season, you would think that DraftKings would put a little more respect on his name. The NorCal native is gaining a full stroke per round on the field this season, making him one of the most solid all-around players on Tour. His form this season has been consistently good, making 13 of 14 cuts. He also finished T-4 last year in this event, going 13 under par over the final three rounds. McNealy is averaging 4.24 birdies per round this season, which bodes very well for this event. At a sub-$8k salary, Mav is an absolute steal.
Tom Hoge (DK: $7,600; FD: $9,300; Y!: $31)
If I’m going to load my DFS lineups with a variety of expensive players, the efficacy of my value plays must be sharp. Enter Tom Hoge. Hoge is as volatile a player as there is on the PGA Tour. He has made 14 of 18 cuts, but has pushed the envelope of contention a few times this season. He even won the Pebble Beach Pro-Am this season and was runner-up at the American Express. Guessing the Hoge week has been a proverbial crapshoot.
His success has mostly been on links-style courses this season and finished a respectable T-25 at the Heritage last year. The best notch in Hoge’s corner is his .871 strokes gained on approach per round this season, good for fourth in this field. He also averages more than four birdies per round, which I consider a breaking point for contention in this event.
Joel Dahmen (DK: $6,800; FD: $8,300; Y!: $25)
It is a little bit difficult to take a Tour player seriously when he wears a bucket hat like my fisherman Grandpa did (or Gilligan). Dahmen also has a reputation as being a stern enforcer of the rules of golf while pacing the grounds. What gets lost in the narrative of his image is how good of a golfer he is. If I am rostering a sub-$7k player, the goal is a simple made cut.
Dahmen has converted 11 of 14 cuts this season, with his best finish at the comparable Pebble Beach Pro-Am. He is a very good ball striker and converts 4.29 birdies per round, good for 10th best in this field. Dahmen is the one golfer under $7k this week that will see a great deal of my DFS lineups.
I will be with you for an entire PGA Tour season of DFS picks. I hope you join me in victory throughout 2022 and beyond. I promise to be a better DFS golfer than an actual golfer. You can find all of my musings on Twitter. Good luck and hit ’em straight!