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Top NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings | NFL DFS Week 4


Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall Top NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings article. It is here that we’ll look to identify potential spots that will allow you to pay down for plays that are expected to exceed their NFL DFS salaries and put you in a great spot to land on the right side of the cash line.

Week three is in the books which means wear nearly a quarter of the way through the NFL DFS season. We’ve seen some surprises, both good and bad, to this point in the season but it isn’t too late to win some green. Let’s dive into our week four NFL DFS values play on DraftKings.

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NFL DFS Value Pick – Quarterbacks

Sam Darnold – Carolina Panthers

Darnold looks like a completely different quarterback since coming to Carolina. He’s scored 20.1, 22.9, and 28.3 DraftKings points in his first three games this season. He’ll be without Christian McCaffrey for a few weeks so it is possible to think that they let him air out the ball a bit more if they can’t get the running game going. The Panthers will face a porous Dallas defense that gave up 300+ passing yards to rookie Jalen Hurts on Monday Night Football.

Jared Goff – Detroit Lions

Goff obviously isn’t on the level of some of the elites in the NFL, but he’s a serviceable pay-down option when it comes to NFL DFS. This week he’ll face a decent Chicago defense, however, I think they’ll suffer from incompetent quarterback play forcing the defense to be on the field longer than they should be. Goff has been solid scoring 32.9, 20.4, and 9.1 DraftKings points in his first three games.

NFL DFS Value Pick – Running Backs

Chuba Hubbard – Carolina Panthers

Christian McCaffrey is out for a few weeks with a hamstring, so the Panthers will rely on the rookie Chuba Hubbard. For those of us who play college football DFS you’ll remember that Hubbard was a monster fir Oklahoma State last season. He played the de facto CMC role after CMC left the game early last Thursday night. The numbers have consistently shown us that it is okay to attack the Cowboys defense and I won’t shy away from Hubbard who has 20 touch potential.

Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Kansas City Chiefs

It was nice to see Andy Reid not lose confidence in CEH even after his fumbles. He trusted the sophomore running back with 19 touches in last week’s loss to the Chargers. I don’t know is this was just a fluke or a sign of things to come but the Chiefs are on a two-game losing streak. The NFL is a pass dominate league so I don’t expect the Chiefs to scale back their passing game but as they showed last Sunday they still want to establish the run and CEH will be the man to do it.

NFL DFS Value Pick – Wide Receivers

Cole Beasley – Buffalo Bills

Beasley is just a target monster. Take away the Bills thrashing of the Dolphins in which Beasley  was targeted 4 times, he’s been targeted 26 times! In week one and in week three he saw 13, yes, 13 targets. He’s not a big play, downfield threat, rather he’s a safety blanket for Josh Allen. The Bills face off against the lowly Texans so there is a risk of a blowout with their third-string quarterback leading the way. However, Beasley should be a safe bet for targets.

Jaylen Waddle – Miami Dolphins

The rookie was on the receiving end of 13 targets on Sunday. Obviously, backup Jacoby Brissett meshed extremely well with him if he was targeted that many times. I think Brissett is the better option for fantasy purposes for the rookie as has been apparent since Tua Tagovailoa’s rib injury. The Colts defense isn’t getting help from the offense is in bottom third of the league. The Colts defense gives up the third most yards per play at 6.3 yards per play.

NFL DFS Value Pick – Tight Ends

Dalton Schultz – Dallas Cowboys

In the Cowboy’s second game without Michael Gallop, Dalton Schultz was the guy who stepped up on Monday night. He lead the Cowboys with seven targets, bringing in six of them for 80 yards and two touchdowns. I understand that any given week will lead to different usage among Dallas’ tight ends but with a $3,400 price tag I’m okay with taking a shot on Schultz on what is expected to be a high scoring affair.

Evan Engram – New York Giants

Engram didn’t look the best in his first action on the season. He was second on the team in targets with six, the downside is that he only brought in two of them for 21 yards. The Giants lost Darius Slayton and Sterling Shepherd to injuries which in theory should open up more opportunities for Engram. New Orleans has a solid defense but for $3,000 I like Engram as a solid NFL DFS value.

I know there are some blemishes on each of the players on the list, but remember – you get what you pay for!

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