Top NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings | NFL DFS Week 6
Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall Top NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings article. It is here that we’ll look to identify potential spots that will allow you to pay down for plays that are expected to exceed their NFL DFS salaries and put you in a great spot to land on the right side of the cash line.
This week begins the dreaded bye weeks. We have a “small” 10 game slate for the first time this NFL DFS season. We’ve seen chalk hit, but with a smaller slate let’s hope we can differentiate with solid lineup building practices.
NFL DFS Value Pick – Quarterbacks
Taylor Heinckie – Washington Football Team
Heinckie struggled this past weekend against the Saints. It was his first start in which he did not record at least 23.4 DraftKings points. This week Washington faces a terrible Kansas City Chiefs defense which has allowed 29+ points in every game this season. They have also allowed 400+ yards in four of five games. This game has the highest implied total on the slate at 55.5 points. I know people are going to jump on the Chief’s side of things but don’t be afraid to pay down for Heinckie.
Carson Wentz – Indianapolis Colts
The Colts had an incredible meltdown to lose on Monday night after leading 22-3 with about 3 minutes remaining in the third quarter. I don’t think you can blame that on Wentz who flashed his former self. He passed 25 of 35 for 402 yards and two touchdowns. This week they’ll face division opponent Houston at home. The Colts are 10 point favorites to begin the week. It isn’t a huge implied total at 43.5, but as 10 point favorites Vegas assumes the Colts will do a majority of the scoring. The Texans are allowing 28.2 points per game through five contests.
NFL DFS Value Pick – Running Backs
Devontae Booker – New York Giants
This should be a chalk play considering Saquon Barkley was carted off the field on Sunday. After Barkley exited the contest Booker saw 88% of the Giant’s running back snaps and scored a healthy 20.8 DraftKings points. This week will be a tough matchup against a Rams defense. The Giants may also be without quarterback Daniel Jones who took scary helmet-to-helmet hit that caused him to miss a good portion the last Sunday’s game. I expect this to be a volume play because there isn’t much in terms of weapons on the Giants roster.
Darrel Williams – Kansas City Chiefs
We’re going to take advantage of another injury and plug-in backup Darrel Williams. Clyde Edward-Helaire left Sunday Night’s loss to the Bills with a knee injury which opened the door for Williams. He saw only five carries for 27 yards but also saw five targets bringing in three of them for 18 yards. The Chiefs face a Washington defense that has disappointed so far this season and will have its hands full with an offense that is looking to get back on track. Washington’s defense gives up an NFL worst 31 points per game.
NFL DFS Value Pick – Wide Receivers
Michael Pittman Jr – Indianapolis Colts
Pittman has been the Wentz’s go-to guy this season. He finally found the end zone for the first time this season on Monday Night’s loss to the Ravens. Through five games Pittman is being targeted 8.6 times per game. As was touched on in the Carson Wentz write-up we know the Texans defense isn’t one we shy away from. The Texans only give up 257 pass yards per game but that’s because they’ve been trailing most games which is why they are in the bottom five in the NFL in rush yards allowed. I expect Pittman’s targets to continue trending up as he and Wentz build rapport.
Mecole Hardman – Kansas City Chiefs
This play is contingent on Tyreek Hill’s status for the weekend. Hill left the Chief’s loss to the Bills early with a knee issues. Hardman was targeted 12 times! He brought in nine of them for 76 yards. It’s only a matter of time before the Chiefs offense breaks out and hits the explosive plays we’re used to seeing. Defenses are so keyed in to not giving up the big play to Hill or Kelce it should allow Hardman and the other wideouts to have opportunities to make splash plays. We already know the Washington defense gives up a lot of points we’ll just have to find ways to get creative when stacking this game.
NFL DFS Value Pick – Tight Ends
Ricky Seals-Jones – Washington Football Team
I’m just assuming this game is going to be full of fantasy goodness. RSJ (Ricks Seals-Jones) is filling in for Logan Thomas who will still be on injured reserve for a few more weeks. I’m last week’s loss to the Saints, RSJ was targeted eight times bringing in five of them for 41 yards. He’s not a total punt but he’s a way to get exposure to a good NFL DFS game.
Demetrius Harris – Arizona Cardinals
Who? I know what you’re thinking because I thought the same thing. Harries is the 3rd string tight end for the Cardinals. In Sunday’s win against the 49ers, starter Max Williams was injured and carted off with an apparent knee injury. He status is still to be determined, back-up tight end Darrell Daniels was placed on the Covid list and is expected to be out. That leaves Harris as the only tight end on the roster. He’s stone minimum of $2,500 on DraftKings. It’s very possible that he puts up a big, fat 0. However, it frees up a lot of salary to be used at other positions.
I know there are some blemishes on each of the players on the list, but remember – you get what you pay for!
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