Top NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings | NFL DFS Week 8
Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall Top NFL DFS Value Picks for DraftKings article. It is here that we’ll look to identify potential spots that will allow you to pay down for plays that are expected to exceed their NFL DFS salaries and put you in a great spot to land on the right side of the cash line.
This week it seems like there are rookies or younger player that fit the value moniker and are in viable situations. Remember the point of this article is to help you early in the week identify situations that will open up NFL DFS salary for you to use for studs in key areas. Roster construction is a huge part of NFL DFS and once you think you’ve mastered it it comes around to kick you in the butt and put you into your place. Let’s dig in!
NFL DFS Value Pick – Quarterbacks
Trevor Lawrence – Jacksonville Jaguars
The rookie has played relatively well through his first six career games. He’s averaging approximately 17.61 DraftKings points per game. This week he’ll face the Seattle Seahawks in Seattle. I know that typically meant a death sentence for offenses traveling to the Pacific Northwest but this isn’t the same Seahawks team. The Seattle pass defense is giving up 280 yards through the air per game. Initial implied Vegas totals have this game at 43.5 points. This puts the Jaguars on par with their implied team total and almost right in line with how many points Seattle has allowed per game this season (23.1).
Justin Fields – Chicago Bears
I’m about as big a 49ers there is but the team is in absolute disarray. The team gave up big plays all over the field on Sunday Night Football. The 49ers struggle with mobile quarterbacks, as do most teams, but after giving up 30 points to an anemic Colts offense, the rookie is in a good spot. By the numbers the 49ers pass defense looks solid giving up only 206 passing yards per game, however, they have a severe pass interference problem. They’ve given up 13 pass interference penalties for 250 yards. As hard as it is to say I think this is the week we may see a Fields breakout.
NFL DFS Value Pick – Running Back
Khalil Herbert – Chicago Bears
Herbert has been a bell cow back for the Bears since David Montgomery’s injury. Over the last three weeks, Herbert has seen 18, 21, and 23 touches. The 49ers run defense has allowed only one one-hundred yard rusher this season, which happened last week in their loss to the Colts. As long as the Bears are willing to give the rookie around 20+ touches per game I’m more than willing to pay the $5,400 price tag. Even though they haven’t given up major yardage to one single runner, San Francisco is allowing 119 rushing yards per game at 4.3 yards per carry.
Michael Carter – New York Jets
Yet another rookie! I know, but the price is right and the opportunities are there. Carter is another young back that has continued to see an increase in his workload over the past few weeks. He’s hit double digit DraftKings points in four of six games this season. What I love, especially on a PPR scoring site like DraftKings, is that he sees consistent targets. He’s averaging about four targets a game. Over the last three weeks the Bengals rush defense has been stingy allowing only 94.7 yards per game. It’ll be interesting to see how the Jets transition into Joe Flacco starting for the next few weeks.
NFL DFS Value Pick – Wide Receivers
Jerry Jeudy – Denver Broncos
This is the first week we’re expected to see Jeudy since his week one injury. I know people fear that this is going to hurt Courtland Sutton and Noah Fant but I think this is the exact opposite. I think defenses are going to have to account for another capable receiver which should allow for more one-on-one matchups. The Redskins are allowing a league high 300.6 yards per game through the air. The Washington Football Team is allowing 30 points per game which is just insane. The second year man will look to build on his solid rookie season and is in a great spot this Sunday.
Allen Robinson – Chicago Bears
Allen Robinson has disappointed to this point in the season and I cannot for the life of me recall a time where he’s been priced under $5,000 on DraftKings. If you take away week one where he saw 11 targets from Andy Dalton, Robinson is averaging 4.83 targets per game. As I mentioned in the Justin Fields portion of this article the San Francisco pass defense has been horrible this season. The San Francisco secondary is missing their #1 corner, Jason Verrett, ego went down week one with a torn ACL. If there’s a situation where Robinson can break out of his rut, this will be that matchup.
NFL DFS Value Pick – Tight Ends
Ricky Seals-Jones – Washington Football Team
RSJ has been in this article for a few consecutive weeks and he’ll be here once again. He’s seeming nearly 7.5 targets per game in Logan Thomas’ absence. Thomas once again, will be out this week against the Broncos. I definitely want exposure to this game and a Broncos team that has dropped four straight games after winning their first three. Denver is a middle of the pack defense against the pass. I don’t mind playing the value here and locking in RSJ.
C.J. Uzomah – Cincinnati Bengals
Uzomah is a benefactor of Ja’Marr Chase. Teams will start to focus B on shutting down Chase and this leaves other Bengals receivers will one-on-one coverage. Uzomah just catches touchdowns. He has five touchdowns in the last four games. Ride the hot hand.
I know there are some blemishes on each of the players on the list, but remember – you get what you pay for!
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