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Top NFL DFS Value Picks for FanDuel | NFL DFS Week 1


Welcome to the Team Rise or Fall Top NFL DFS Value Picks for FanDuel article. It is here that we’ll look to identify potential spots that will allow you to pay down for plays that are expected to exceed their salaries and put you in a great spot to land on the right side of the cash line.

One. There is one more sleep until the 2021 season kicks off. If you’re like me, other sports fill the gap but the NFL is my first love in both real life and when it comes to DFS. My excitement is boiling over and I can’t wait for you all to see what Team Rise or Fall has in store for you all!

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NFL DFS Value Pick – Quarterbacks

Ryan Fitzpatrick – Washington Football Team

Fitzmagic is on his 10th team entering into his 17th season in the NFL. The Washington offense has been hyped up all offseason as it should be with some of the weapons that Fitz has at his disposal. The likes of Terry McLaurin, Curtis Samuel, and Antonio Gibson should have this offense buzzing. The Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub has Fitzpatrick as the second-best value at the quarterback position, trailing only Bills superstar, Josh Allen. I expect him to come out guns blazing allowing to hit his NFL DFS value.

Sam Darnold – Carolina Panthers

Darnold landed in Carolina after three mediocre seasons with the Jets under then-head coach Adam Gase. Darnold has shown flashes of being a capable NFL quarterback but was never able to piece it all together as the signal-caller in New York. Darnold will be paired with two young playmakers in Christian McCaffrey and D.J. Moore, as well as being reunited with former teammate and deep threat Robby Anderson. His price tag over on FanDuel is only $6,500 making him tied for the third-best value on the slate.

NFL DFS Value Pick – Running Backs

Mike Davis – Atlanta Falcons

Davis also showed up in the DraftKings version of this article, so the write-up is very similar. There isn’t a whole lot of depth behind Mike Davis in Atlanta. Last season when Christian McCaffrey missed an extended period of time Mike Davis filled in admirably. It wasn’t quite a CMC’s level but he was able to have some quality games. The depth chart behind Davis gets thin quickly. The backup is Cordarrelle Patterson, a veteran who is a converted wideout. Davis carries a price tag of $6,200 and is the third-best running back value on the slate according to the Team Rise or Fall NFL Study Hub.

Najee Harris – Pittsburgh Steelers

The rookie comes in with the starting job belonging to him. There was some discussion that the Steelers should have invested in their offensive line instead of drafting the stud from Alabama, but after seeing the way he performed in the preseason, I think the Steelers and their fans are going to be happy with what he does on the field this season. Harris is a dual-threat that can tote the rock and catch the ball out of the backfield. He is the 5th best running back value on the slate according to the NFL Study hub.

NFL DFS Value Pick – Wide Receivers

Laviska Shenault – Jacksonville Jaguars

The sophomore, Shenault, had a solid rookie campaign hauling in 58 receptions for 600 yards and scoring 5 touchdowns. The Jaguars will look for him to expand on his rookie season and be a safety valve for rookie quarterback Trevor Lawrence. In this year’s preseason, Shenault was targeted by Lawrence 13 times in limited action. In my research, I see that they used Shenault outside and in the slot. He’ll battle D.J. Chark and veteran Marvin Jones Jr for receptions but for now, it seems as if he’s built a solid rapport with Trevor Lawrence. Shenault tops the list of wide receiver value in the NFL Study Hub and I wouldn’t mind stacking him with Lawrence in tournaments considering they’ll face off against the Texans.

JaMarr Chase – Cincinnati Bengals

I’m trusting the process here. Chase is considered the third-best wideout value according to the NFL Study Hub. What concerns me is the bad case of the drops in training camp and in the preseason. You also have to take into consideration the competition for targets with guys like Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, and Joe Mixon, I’m not entirely sure how many opportunities Chase is going to be especially if he drops a pass or two. The LSU star put up some big numbers in college and had great chemistry with starter Joe Burrow when they played together, but ultimately this is a GPP flyer at best for me. He can be a salary saver with the $5,500 salary on FanDuel.

NFL DFS Value Pick – Tight Ends

Kyle Pitts – Atlanta Falcons

Another Falcons player – say what? The RoF Study Hub lists Pitts as the third-best FanDuel value at the tight end position. The rookie will still have veteran Matt Ryan under center and Calvin Ridley taking the bulk of the defense’s attention. It will be the responsibility of Pitts to be the security blanket for Matty Ice. To be honest, the $6,000 price tag Pitts is sporting is a bit high for my liking but if you trust in his athleticism, I don’t see why you can put him in your lineups. He is only beat out by the cream of the crop at the position, Kittle and Kelce, so I would say he’s in good company if you’re willing to trust the numbers.

TJ Hockenson – Detroit Lions

If you take out the big three of Kelce, Kittle, and Waller, TJ Hockenson is the second-best tight end value for week one. The problem is he’s facing an uber-athletic 49ers linebacker core with a defensive unit that hasn’t been healthy since 2019. If the 49ers defense looks like it did in 2019 Hockenson will have to be used as an extra blocker and not a threat in the passing game. New Lions quarterback showed an affinity for targeting his tight ends in Los Angeles so hopefully, Hock can get some red-zone looks which would help him pay off his salary.

I know there are some blemishes on each of the players on the list, but remember – you get what you pay for!

Any questions, concerns, or comments please feel free to hit me up in Discord or on Twitter @EdArias87