UFC Fight Night DFS Picks and Projections for DraftKings and FanDuel
I am so excited to roll out our UFC Fight Night DFS Picks and Projections for DraftKings and FanDuel article. This is going to be a gem. We have a nice looking card full of potential upsets and opportunities to make a ridiculous amount of money.
In the 33 fights that have taken place at the UFC Apex facility, an astounding 18 of them have resulted in a finish. Some say this is due to the ring being just 25-feet in size rather than the normal 35-foot ring. There are ways to take advantage of this in the analysis of the fights, too. Let’s dive in.
**EDITOR NOTE** Be sure to check out the Talladega DFS Video and the MMA Video at the bottom!
Main Event
It’s really hard not to go all in on a guy like Curtis Blades when most of the entire card is so much closer when it comes to Vegas odds and talent. Blades and his wrestling background (Collegiate wrestling champ) should be able to close the distance on the longer Alexander Volkov and a 25-foot ring does not help “Drago” who stands at 6 Feet and 7 Inches.
Blaydes is also a powerful striker when he has to be, as evidenced by the fact that he’s knocked out his last two opponents. But I digress, truly, it will be his 6.63 TD Avg. against the longer Volkov that will ultimately end Drago’s night.
I think he has a chance to get inside the reach of Drago and grapple like a maniac. Ground and pound 101, cause and effect, should wear down Volkov quickly and I think Blaydes wins Inside the Distance (-240) by TKO.
“Risers” Pick
I am hammering the -140 line for Shane “Hurricane” Burgos for a few strong reasons (in my unbiased opinion, of course). This is a classic, one fighter’s strengths don’t match up well against the other fighter’s strengths.
First off, Josh Emmett is a fantastic athlete that looks to take down his opponent. The problem with that is Burgos is fantastic at defending the takedown. In addition, Burgos can tuck you into bed nice and early with his striker abilities. He can strike with the best of them and lands 7.09 Significant Strikes Per Minute.
While Emmett is the #8 ranked Featherweight, Burgos is the 10th and I see this one going to him by decision due to the points he’ll earn from judges with all the strikes landed.
Leverage Pick
Jim Miller is taking on the up and coming Roosevelt Roberts in what looks like a big mismatch. Miller is a +180 and will be taking on his 46th professional fight. That is a lot of wear and tear on a 36 year old frame.
Miller has been a fan favorite for quite some time. I think there could be something to him pulling off the upset if live crowds were involved. He’s just one of those types of fighters.
Roberts is incredible fast, very athletic, and pretty much a better all around fighter at this point in both of their careers. Here is the thing, there is some danger here due to the savvy ways of the vet who is going to be in his 35th (that is a record tying total) fight for the UFC.
I am advising people to tread lightly with Roberts due to his -230 line and likely chalky ownership. I think he’s a fantastic target for cash games, but simply due to the submission upside that A-10 possesses, there is reason to get some exposure on Miller in tournaments to try to separate from the field.
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- Fight Metrics Sheet
- Fight Picks
- MME Player Pool
- Cash Picks
- Props and Bets
- Projections
- Ownership Projections
- DFSnDonuts MME Exposures
- Fantasy Cruncher Groups
- Fantasy Cruncher Upload Data Sheet
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