Week 7 DFS Risers & Fallers
Week 7 DFS Risers & Fallers
Week 7 DFS Risers
Calvin Ridley @ Dolphins
Coming off of the bye, and considering his relatively disappointing start to the season, I would expect Ridley’s exposure rate to be considerably lower than usual. Combine that with his $6,600 price point, this is a smash play in Week 7 DFS at a discount.
It looks like both Byron Jones and Xavien Howard, Miami’s stud cornerbacks, will be back for this game after missing last week. However, if one or both do not suit up, this would obviously be favorable to the Falcon’s wide receiver. Keep an eye on their status, but you should play Ridley for Week 7 DFS regardless.
The former first-round pick is truly seeing WR1 usage in his first season without Julio Jones. He has not seen less than 83 percent of offensive snaps and has been targeted at least 10 times in three straight games. In those three games, he has caught at least seven passes for 61 yards and that should be viewed as Ridley’s absolute floor.
The Dolphins ran a season-high 75 offensive plays last week and Atlanta is eight in plays per game this season (68). With Tua Tagovailoa back in the lineup, look for this game to be faster-paced – which is great for Calvin Ridley’s upside for Week 7 DFS.
Miles sanders @ Raiders
Fantasy managers are at their wits end with Miles Sanders. The beauty of DFS is you can enjoy the fruits without the labor. It’s like hanging out with your niece or nephew for a couple of hours and then going home. While rostering Sanders has been nothing but a grit and grind experience, he is ready to break out for Week 7 DFS.
Over any team’s last three games, the Raiders are sixth in rushing yards allowed (141). One of those games featured Austin Ekeler, but the last two weeks against the Broncos and Bears did not pose a legitimate threat in the running game. Las Vegas is 22nd in fantasy points allowed to the running back position.
Despite Sanders’ low touch-total, he has seen his usage increase to a season-high 83 percent snap count last week. Perhaps even more encouraging for Sanders’ outlook moving forward is the opposite trajectory for rookie Kenny Gainwell’s snap count rate. In the last two weeks, he has only been on the field 23.5 percent of the time, compared to 34 percent in the first two games.
With a low exposure rate, a great matchup, and usage leaning Sanders’ favor, his $5,100 price is a great opportunity to get him into your lineup considering all the players on bye. He is a great pivot from options like J.D. McKissic, Kenyan Drake, and Michael Carter who are priced about the same for Week 7 DFS.
Dallas Goedert @ Raiders
Another Eagle in another good matchup, Dallas Godert could be a slate breaking tight end this week. Like Diamond Dallas Page, I would like to give myself a self-high-five for last week’s “Risers” column as Noah Fant was highlighted going up against the, you guessed it, Las Vegas Raiders. He caught 9 passes for 97 yards and a touchdown against the Raiders.
In steps Dalla Goedert, who is $200 cheaper than Fant was last week with arguably a bigger upside. With Zach Ertz being traded to Arizona, it only makes sense that Goedert should see an uptick in targets, including in the red zone. Ertz’s six red-zone targets are currently eighth among all tight ends.
Goedert is right behind Ertz with five red-zone targets and should walk into a similar snap count (88 percent) to what the former Eagle had last TNF. The current Eagle’s tight end has only been targeted four times per game while sharing the field with Ertz, so it is feasible to see his workload increase against the Raiders.
Goedert should be considered with elite upside at an average price for Week 7 DFS.
Week 7 DFS Fallers
Corey Davis @ Patriots
Coming off of the bye, Corey Davis is in a good spot in regards to price on Draftkings. If you are playing 100 lineups I would maybe put him into seven or eight, so I am not saying you Can’t play him. There are, however, reasons to pivot.
Jamison Crowder will be playing and has been targeted 15 times in two games. This has translated into seven targets for Davis in each of those games, which really shouldn’t scare you. In those games, rookie Elijah Moore missed one and played 41 percent in the other. He should see a snap increase this week as he has been eased back from a concussion.
Without Crowder in Week 2 against the Patriots, Davis had two receptions for eight yards. While it should be expected for that production to increase, it is safe to cap expectations in this contest. I would rather save and take a chance on a min-priced wide receiver, or play Robby Anderson, Tee Higgins, Allen Robinson, and DeVante Parker who all provide a higher ceiling in my opinion for Week 7 DFS.
Kenyan Drake vs Eagles
Let’s not do it. You know what I’m talking about – points chasing. If it makes sense, I am all about it, but we don’t play players based on points around these parts. Kenyan Drake had his best game of the season, and while that might mean he is propelled upward from now on, we have to look deeper.
Drake touched the ball six times last week. He also happened to have two big plays that ended up being touchdowns. He ended up with 21.3 DK points, but this could have easily been another dud from Drake without those two plays. His 21 percent snap count last week was his second-lowest of the season.
The Raiders were playing the Broncos in last week’s game, and Denver surprisingly has a higher pace of play than most would expect. This sped up the Raiders offense and Drake happened to be the beneficiary of two huge plays. This week should be a slower game at home against Philidelphia. The Eagles are sixth lowest in plays per game (59) while the Raiders have slowed things down themselves only running 56 plays per game in their last three.
With a slower game and a limited snap count, I am fading Drake completely. I would much rather pay up for Josh Jacobs in the same game if anything, but there are a lot of options around the same price point like Miles Sanders, Chase Edmonds, and James Conner that see the field more and have the opportunity to produce. I would prefer taking a chance on one of the Ravens running backs as well, now that Latavious Murray has been ruled out for Week 7 DFS.
Steven Toroni (@FFPressorST3)