🏈 Yahoo NFL Week 10 DFS Picks
Welcome to the weekly Yahoo DFS picks article. The whole point of this article is to find the best plays to fit in your $200 team budget on the Yahoo main slate each week. Sometimes that means paying up, sometimes it means finding value, and sometimes it means taking some dart throws. Let’s dive in.
Josh Allen @ NYJ – $40
Allen is coming off his worst game of the season, but I’m not afraid to pay up for him again this week. The Bills are poised for a get-right game against the Jets, and Allen has accounted for 80% of their offensive touchdowns on the season. If Buffalo gets anywhere near their 29+ implied team point total, Allen is likely scoring three or more total touchdowns.
Dak Prescott vs. ATL – $40
Prescott joins Allen as the most expensive player on the slate. While I prefer Allen in cash games, Dak is my favorite tournament quarterback. He looked a bit rusty after two weeks off last game, completing just 49% of his passes against Denver, but he still finished as a top ten quarterback. The showdown with Atlanta has the highest project point total of the week at 54.5, and if this game turns into a shootout, Prescott can finish as the top-scoring player of Week 10.
Russell Wilson @ GB – $31
As of this writing, Wilson still has the red “x” and an IR designation next to his name on Yahoo. That could keep some people away, but as long as things go as planned, he’ll return against the Packers this week. It’s a middle-of-the-road matchup with Green Bay, but the $31 salary is a discount for a quarterback with Wilson’s upside.
Taysom Hill @ TEN – $29
If Hill is named the starter, he immediately becomes a viable DFS play. He may not do much through the air, but he can more than make up for it on the ground. There is, however, the built-in risk that Hill and Trevor Siemian split offensive series against the Titans.
Matt Ryan @ DAL – $25
As mentioned earlier, the matchup between Atlanta and Dallas boasts the highest over/under point total of the week. Ryan has arguably the same ceiling as Prescott, at a $15 discount.
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Christian McCaffrey @ ARI – $31
He didn’t look like the dynamic back we’re used to in his return last week, but the best news is that he made it through healthy. He was still totally fine for fantasy lineups with over 100 yards of total offense. It’s odd seeing him listed way down as the eighth running back listed by salary, and I want to take advantage of it while I can.
Najee Harris vs. DET – $31
Harris may be the safest DFS play in the NFL. He’s averaged 25.3 opportunities/game this season, including 28.3 over his last four games. He’s essentially matchup-proof at this point, but it doesn’t get much better than playing at home against the Lions this week. Detroit is allowing the third-most fantasy points to running backs this season.
D’Andre Swift @ PIT – $23
The matchup on the other side of the ball isn’t great for Swift, but the Detroit offense runs through him. He’s played over 70% of the offensive snaps over his last five games and is utilized on all three downs. He’s the most-targeted running back in the NFL this season and the second-leading overall receiver for the Lions. He’s safe to slot into cash lineups every week.
D’Ernest Johnson @ New England – $13
He would usually be a long shot in DFS lineups, but if Nick Chubb can’t clear COVID protocols by Sunday, Johnson becomes the free space of the slate. With Kareem Hunt already sidelined due to injury, Johnson would be in line for all of the backfield work for the Browns in Week 10.
Ronald Jones @ WAS – $10
He’s only in play for large-field tournaments, but Ronald Jones is always capable of busting out for a long touchdown run. If he finds the end zone against the Football Team, then he’ll immediately pay off his bare minimum salary.
Davante Adams vs. SEA – $32
It was rough without Aaron Rodgers last week, and the mediocre output from Adams caused his salary to drop by $6 this week. He’s still the most expensive wideout on the slate, but the $32 salary is a little easier to afford. As long as Rodgers returns, Adams is the safest DFS wideout on the slate.
Chris Godwin @ WAS – $27
Make sure to monitor the status of his foot injury, but as long as he’s cleared to play in Week 10, Godwin is a smash play against the Football Team. Washington has given up the second-most fantasy points to wideouts this season, and Godwin has averaged 125.5 receiving yards over his last two games. He should hit that mark and could easily find the end zone again this week.
A.J. Brown vs. NO – $27
Over the first 34 games of his career, Brown averaged 6.3 targets/game. That number has sky-rocketed to 10 targets/game over his last four and 11 targets/game in the last two. He’s always been explosive enough to put up big fantasy points on low volume, and now that his opportunity is increasing, he has even more chances to put up some slate-breaking plays.
CeeDee Lamb vs. ATL – $26
After three strong weeks, Lamb had a down game in Week 9. I’m not holding that against him, and I’m firing him up this week in what hopefully turns into a shootout with the Falcons. I mentioned Dak Prescott as my favorite tournament quarterback this week, and Lamb is my favorite wideout to stack with him.
Stefon Diggs @ NYJ – $24
We haven’t seen a multi-touchdown game from Diggs yet this season, but if he’s going to have a big week, the Jets are the team to do it against. He comes in with the eleventh highest receiver salary on the slate, which seems like a discount given his ceiling in a game that should see the Bills score plenty of points.
Diontae Johnson vs. DET – $23
Much like his running back teammate Najee Harris, you can always feel safe slotting Johnson into your lineups. He’s had at least five catches in seven of his eight games this season, and even in the one game that he didn’t, he still caught a long touchdown. He’s a great option with a reasonable salary for cash lineups.
D.J. Moore @ ARI – $17
The quarterback play for P.J Walker will be questionable, to say the least, but Moore is far too talented to have a salary this low. In the one game that Walker started last season, he targeted Moore 11 times. If recently signed Cam Newton gets the start, he has familiarity with Moore from his first stint in Carolina. He can take any target to the house, and if he does, he’ll easily pay off his discount salary.
Jerry Jeudy vs. PHI – $16
Cortland Sutton vs. PHI $14
Jeudy has been the better Bronco receiver since returning two weeks ago and is my preferred DFS play. That being said, Sutton could have a nice bounce-back game and give your lineup leverage on everybody that’s avoiding him after his awful outing in Week 9.
Make sure to check out this week’s Bottom of the Barrel article if you’re playing on DraftKings or FanDuel!
Noah Fant vs. PHI – $16
The Eagles have given more fantasy points to tight ends than any other team this season. That doesn’t mean just any dart throw tight end will succeed against them, but we know that Noah Fant is an above-average tight end. He’s finished as a top-ten fantasy tight end four times already this season, including when he was the TE1 in Week 6. That kind of performance is in the range of outcomes this week, especially with Travis Kelce, George Kittle, and Darren Waller unavailable on the main slate.
Dallas Goedert @ DEN – $15
Goedert has seen a ridiculous 44% target share over the past two weeks. He’s played on 84% of snaps since Zach Ertz was traded to Arizona. He has all the opportunity you can ask for when looking for a tight end for your DFS lineup, and his reasonable $15 salary won’t drain your budget.
Adam Trautman @ TEN – $10
Trautman is the perfect candidate for my DFS tight end dart throw of the week. He hasn’t broken out yet, but he has seen increased targets for four consecutive games. Nobody is dominating targets in New Orleans, and Trautman has as good of a chance as any other Saint pass-catcher to find the end zone this week.
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. DET – $16
The Lions have scored the third-fewest points in the NFL, and the Steelers have allowed the fourth-fewest. Pittsburgh is underpriced considering the easy matchup at home.
Tennessee Titans vs. NO – $13
Tennessee’s defense has been fantasy gold over the past three weeks, and I don’t see that changing this week. Whether is Hill or Siemian under center for New Orleans, it will be a second-tier quarterback that is bound to make a few mistakes.
Los Angeles Chargers vs. MIN – $11
The Chargers’ defense hasn’t been as good as projected for fantasy, but they still have plenty of playmakers on that side of the ball. They could rack up a few sacks and turnovers if the game turns into a shootout, as the 53 point implied total suggests. That should be enough to pay off their near-minimum salary.