🏈 Yahoo NFL Week 12 DFS Picks
Welcome to the weekly Yahoo DFS picks article. The whole point of this article is to find the best plays to fit in your $200 team budget on the Yahoo main slate each week. Sometimes that means paying up, sometimes it means finding value, and sometimes it means taking some dart throws. Let’s dive in.
Jalen Hurts @ NYG – $35
Hurts has been the most consistent DFS quarterback this season, scoring the most fantasy points at the position and finishing as a top-ten QB in all but two games. He’s as safe as it gets, and his $35 salary is perfectly reasonable. The Giants are just a middle-of-the-road defense that won’t be shutting down Hurts.
Daniel Jones vs. PHI – $26
Jones is coming off a dreadful Monday night performance, but he could turn things around this week against Philly. The Eagles give up the highest completion percentage in the NFL (72%), and over the last three weeks, they’ve allowed an average of 22.3 fantasy points/game to QBs. There’s also hope that Freddie Kitchens is a better play-caller than the recently fired Jason Garrett.
Trevor Lawrence vs. ATL – $23
Lawrence has had an underwhelming rookie season, but he has an affordable salary and a nice matchup this week. Atlanta has given up 20.7 fantasy points/game to quarterbacks, the third-most to the position. I’m staying away from him in any cash formats, but I like stacking him with his similarly affordable pass-catchers in tournaments.
Tyrod Taylor vs. NYJ – $20
Given his rushing floor and ideal matchup, Taylor’s salary should be higher than the bare minimum. He’s coming off a two rushing touchdown performance last week, and the Jets have given up 20 touchdowns on the ground this season, five more than any other team in the NFL. Rostering Taylor at his bargain-basement salary allows you to load up everywhere else in your lineup.
Christian McCaffrey @ MIA – $40
McCaffrey is back to being the dynamic dual-threat running back we all know and love. He’s seen his snaps go up every game since returning from injury three weeks ago, including 90% of the last week. He’s averaged 129 yards over that span but scored just one touchdown so far. A multi-touchdown game is bound to come sooner or later for CMC, and I want him in my DFS lineup when it does.
Dalvin Cook @ SF – $29
Cook’s salary is too cheap given his guaranteed volume. He’s averaged 20.1 rush attempts/game this season, the second-most in the NFL behind only Derrick Henry. He should have no problem paying off his moderate salary against the 49ers, who have given up the tenth-most fantasy points to running backs and the third-most rushing touchdowns in the league.
Joe Mixon vs. PIT – $27
Mixon is another workhorse back with a relatively low salary this week. The only running back with more fantasy points than him over the last three weeks is Jonathan Taylor. Mixon has been best when the Bengals win, averaging 20.5 rush attempts and 93.3 rushing yards/game in victories. It bodes well for him that Cincy is favored by 4.5 points over Pittsburgh at home this week.
Saquon Barkley vs. PHI – $24
It was a mediocre outing for Barkley in the first game back from his ankle injury, but it’s encouraging that he played on 62% of snaps and saw a healthy 17% target share. It’s tough to trust him in any cash format, but he has the combination of high ceiling and likely low roster percentage that makes him a great target in tournaments.
Miles Sanders @ NYG – $17
In his first game since Week 7, Sanders led the three-headed Eagles backfield with 16 rush attempts in Week 11. He should see even more this week with Jordan Howard banged up. Sanders has a history of busting off big plays, and it would only take one to pay off his bargain salary against the Giants.
Ty Johnson @ HOU – $14
With Michael Carter out this week, Johnson should lead the Jets backfield. It may not be the most powerful offense, but New York should be able to have some success against a Texans team that’s allowed the fourth-most points in the NFL this season. He makes a relatively safe salary-saving option this week.
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Cooper Kupp @ GB – $36
Kupp is tied for the highest salary on the slate, and if I’m paying up at wide receiver, I prefer him to Deebo Samuel. This week he takes on a Green Bay defense that was just torched by both Justin Jefferson and Adam Thielen last week. I didn’t mention Matthew Stafford in the quarterback section, but the idea of stacking him with Kupp makes a lot of sense in tournaments,
Ja’Marr Chase vs. PIT – $30
After a red hot start to the season, Chase has cooled off relative to his early-season production. That’s not going to deter me, however, as he takes on the Steelers defense that’s ranked 22nd against fantasy wideouts. He isn’t likely to be popular after three consecutive mediocre weeks, so I love him as a tournament play this week.
Diontae Johnson @ CIN – $23
Johnson is averaging 10.6 targets/game and has seen 13 in back-to-back weeks. The matchup with Cincinnati is less than ideal, but Johnson has proven to be a reliable wideout all season long. His capped ceiling keeps him out of my tournament lineups, but I love him in cash formats.
Elijah Moore @ HOU – $21
The targets have been there all season, and the production is finally following suit for Moore. He’s averaged 20.5 fantasy points/game over the past three weeks, all against solid defensive competition. This week he takes on Houston and their defense that ranks 24th against fantasy wideouts. There are some questions with Zach Wilson returning as the starting quarterback, but Moore has enough talent that I’m still willing to roster him at this moderate salary against the Texans.
Brandon Aiyuk vs. MIN – $17
Aiyuk is back to a full-time wideout for the 49ers, and his salary is far too low this week. He’s been a top 12 wideout in two of the last three weeks, but he has the 21st highest salary on the week. The Vikings have given up the third-most fantasy points to wideouts on the season and the most over the last four weeks, which puts Aiyuk soundly into DFS consideration at his moderate salary in Week 12.
Brandon Cooks vs. NYJ – $13
Cooks is coming off his worst performance of the season, but he’s in a great bounce-back spot against the Jets this week. His ceiling is likely capped in a mediocre offense, but I still like stacking him with Tyrod Taylor in tournaments in the hopes of a multi-touchdown game against a Jets team that has allowed the most points to opposing teams on the season.
Laviska Shenault vs. ATL – $12
Shenault has only put up one fantasy-relevant performance this season, but there is hope. With Jamal Agnew now out for the season, Viska could see more touches and slot routes against the Falcons this week. Stacking him with Trevor Lawrence allows you to get weird in large-field tournaments.
Kyle Pitts @ JAX – $20
With Travis Kelce and Darren Waller off the main slate, there are some tough decisions to be made at the tight end position. Pitts was bad last week, but he’s arguably the most talented tight end available of the slate. He figures to be the top target for Atlanta in a game that they project to score 24 points against Jacksonville this week.
Evan Engram vs. PHI $17
Engram has been on the field for 83% of the offensive snaps over the past three weeks, and the Eagles have given up the most fantasy points to tight ends. As tough as it is to trust Engram, he’s my favorite DFS play at the position for Week 12.
Dallas Goedert @ NYG – $16
I don’t love any of the dart throw options at tight end this week, so Goedert is as low as I want to go. Honestly, his salary seems too low at just $16. Fresh off his new contract, he should see plenty of involvement this week in a game that Philly is favored to win on the road.
Philadelphia Eagles @ NYG – $15
The Eagles have been a top-five fantasy defense over the past two weeks, and now they get to take on the Giants. Daniel Jones has already turned the ball over ten times this season. There’s a good chance he turns it over again this week against Philly.
Jacksonville Jaguars vs. ATL – $13
The Jacksonville defense has put up a few strong fantasy performances this year, but this play is more about their opponent. Atlanta has given up the most fantasy points to opposing defense on the season, including the top DST performance two weeks in a row. They’re a steal at just a $13 salary.
Los Angeles Chargers @ DEN – $10
The Chargers have been a mid-tier fantasy defense this season. They aren’t an elite play, but they should be priced higher than the bare minimum salary. The Broncos aren’t expected to light it up this week, so firing up a defense against Denver is a great low-risk way to save some salary this week.
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