Yahoo NFL Week 5 DFS Picks
Welcome to the weekly Yahoo DFS picks article. The whole point of this article is to find the best plays to fit in your $200 team budget on the Yahoo main slate each week. Sometimes that means paying up, sometimes it means finding value, and sometimes it means taking some dart throws. Let’s dive in.
Kyler Murray vs. SF – $41
I rarely pay all the way up for a quarterback on Yahoo, but with Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson all off the main slate, I’m willing to pay the premium this week. Murray is unmatched when it comes to his combination of passing and rushing potential. He’s the only player in the NFL with at least 1,200 passing and 100 rushing yards so far. He’s a lock if you’re playing in cash games but also has the ceiling to help take down a tournament.
Jalen Hurts @ CAR – $28
Here we are in Week 5, and this is the fourth time I’m suggesting Hurts. He’s put up 20+ fantasy points each week so far, including over 28 last week. Yet, for some reason, his salary is dropping. I can’t explain it, but I am willing to take advantage of it and add him to my lineup at the bargain price of the 14th most expensive quarterback.
Justin Fields @ LV – $20
His first two starts have been ugly, but I’m willing to go back to Fields again this week. He still has the arm and leg talent to break a slate, but my main reason for giving him another go is his bare minimum salary. Even with Fields barely mustering eight fantasy points, my lineup with him cashed last week thanks to the room I had to pay up for other positions across the board. It’s scary to think how good a lineup with him could be with just a slight improvement.
Playing on DraftKings or FanDuel also? Make sure to check out the DK and FD studs article for Week 5!
Alvin Kamara @ WAS – $31
Don’t be scared of Kamara because of the zero-target game. He’s still a workhorse running back for the Saints, notching career-high carry totals in back-to-back games. He still has a solid 16.5% target share, despite the lack of targets last week. The Saints’ offense may have slowed down, but it runs through Kamara.
Saquon Barkley @ DAL – $23
His salary doesn’t reflect it, but Barkley has re-entered the elite tier of fantasy running backs. Over the last two weeks, since getting the extra rest after the Thursday night matchup with Washington in Week 2, he’s averaged nearly 23 fantasy points,14.5 carries, and 6.5 targets per game. This week’s matchup with Dallas has the highest projected point total on the slate, and Barkley has the highest ceiling of any player on the Giants.
Damien Williams @ LV – $18
With David Montgomery sidelined, Williams becomes the free square of Week 5. Montgomery saw 85% of Chicago’s running back rush attempts and an 11% target share in his first three full games of the season, and now Williams should get the majority of that work. That kind of workload against the Raiders, who have allowed the seventh-most fantasy points to running backs so far this season, should be enough to pay off his affordable salary.
Davante Adams @ CIN – $33
With a 50 point over/under and Green Bay favored by three on the road, this matchup in Cincinnati has shootout potential. Adams is arguably the best wideout in the NFL, and if you get him in an Aaron Rodgers-led shootout, he’s worth paying up for at the highest salary at the position.
Ja’Marr Chase vs. GB – $20
Chase is my favorite target on the other side of the matchup if Green Bay shoots out in Cincy. With Joe Mixon hobbled at best and Aaron Rodgers on the other side, Joe Burrow may finally air it out for the first time this season. Chase, who has a 24% team target share and nearly 43% team air yards share, is primed for a huge game with Green Bay shutdown corner sidelined
D.J. Moore vs. PHI – $20
What does D.J. Moore have to do to get his salary raised by Yahoo? He’s been one of the most consistent receivers in the NFL through four weeks and is already just one receiving touchdown shy of his career-high. He should be considered a top ten fantasy wideout, but his salary is tied for 16th highest among the position.
Diontae Johnson vs. DEN – $20
Big Ben looks broken, but at least he has Johnson as his security blanket. In his last 15 full games played, Johnson has been the definition of a target hog, seeing double-digit targets in 13 of them. He doesn’t have a high ceiling, especially with a tough matchup in Denver, but you can’t go wrong with that kind of volume in cash.
Allen Robinson @ LV – $16
I need to specify something here. I’m only rostering Robinson to stack with Justin Field in large-field tournaments. He’s been dreadful this season, but I’m not ready to give up on the talented wideout. If Fields figures it out this week, Robinson is likely to have a strong fantasy week too, and you get the pair for cheaper than the cost of Kyler Murray or Tom Brady alone.
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Darren Waller vs. CHI – $23
With Travis Kelce absent from this week’s main slate Waller is a discount at just $23. He leads all tight ends with 40 targets, just six off the overall league lead entering the week. With a 24% target share and 26% air yard share, he’s essentially the top wide receiver for the Raiders. He has both the safe floor for cash games and the ceiling to get it done in tournaments.
Robert Tonyan @ CIN – $13
I want pieces of this game, and Tonyan is an affordable way to get access. Over the last two week’s he’s been on the field for 76% of the offensive snaps, and last week he ran a season-high 29 routes. The usage is trending in the right direction, and he has a better shot than your average tight end to find the end zone this week.
Tommy Tremble vs. PHI – $10
It didn’t pay off last week, but I’m making Tremble my dart throw tight end again this week. His peripherals are getting better. He was Carolina’s starter at tight end last week and saw season highs in snap rate (34%) and routes run (12). Those numbers don’t jump off the screen, but they’re good enough for a punt tight end.
New England @ HOU – $16
The Patriots defense is the top option on both DraftKings and FanDuel, but just the ninth-most expensive in another example of questionable Yahoo pricing. New England should dominate rookie quarterback Davis Mills, who has been sacked eight times and thrown just two touchdowns to five picks in two and a half games played.
Tampa Bay vs. MIA – $18
The Buccanneers are a nightmare mismatch for the Dolphins in the trenches. Jacoby Brissett, who has already been sacked nine times and fumbled three times in two and a half games. He’ll be running for his like again this week, and the Buc’s defense should be able to shut down Miami and produce a turnover or two.
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