Yahoo NFL Week 7 DFS Picks
Welcome to the weekly Yahoo DFS picks article. The whole point of this article is to find the best plays to fit in your $200 team budget on the Yahoo main slate each week. Sometimes that means paying up, sometimes it means finding value, and sometimes it means taking some dart throws. Let’s dive in.
Patrick Mahomes @ TEN- $40
It’s slim pickings for discount quarterbacks on the main slate with six teams on bye, so why not pay all the way up for Mahomes this week? It’s a great matchup with one of the highest expected point totals we’ve seen all year at 58. Mahomes has been surprisingly better on the road through his career, averaging more passing yards and touchdowns in away games. On top of it all, Tennesse has given up the fifth-most fantasy points on average to quarterbacks this season.
Jalen Hurts @ LV – $35
Hurts has been a model of consistency, at least when it comes to fantasy points. He’s yet to finish outside of the top ten fantasy quarterbacks on a week, and that streak should continue against the Raiders. He’s a rock-solid cash play that comes with tournament upside.
Tua Tagovailoa vs. ATL – $26
Tua just had one of the best performances of his young career, finishing as the QB10 last week in his first game back from the rib injury that cost him three weeks on injured reserve. Now he’s taking on an Atlanta team that was giving up the third-most fantasy points to quarterbacks before facing rookie Zach Wilson in London. At just $26, Tua shouldn’t have any problem paying off his salary.
Playing on DraftKings or FanDuel also? Make sure to check out the DK and FD studs article for Week 7!
Derrick Henry vs. KC – $40
It’s wild that Henry has the same salary as Mahomes, but the way he’s been playing, I won’t talk you out of paying up for him. His cost may deter DFS players this week, which would give lineups that include him leverage if he continues his record-setting rushing pace.
Darrell Henderson vs. DET – $27
Henderson is in a smash spot against the Lions. He’s a bell-cow running back that’s seen 79% of the offensive snaps and has a 70% team rush share, and he’s taking on Detroit. The Lions are allowing the most fantasy points to the position. Don’t overthink this one.
Mike Davis @ MIA – $19
Cordarrelle Patterson has stolen the show in Atlanta’s backfield, but Davis gets the majority of the usage. He’s seen 54% of the team rushes, compared to 36% from Patterson. The Dolphins can be beaten on the ground, and it won’t be surprising if Davis finds the end zone, maybe even a few times.
J.D. McKissic @ GB $16
With Antonio Gibson dealing with injuries, McKissic handled the majority of the backfield work for Washington last week. He should be leaned on again this week, especially through the air, if the Football Team finds themselves in a negative game script against the Packers, who are favored to win by seven points.
Michael Carter @ NE – $14
Coming off a bye week, Carter is entirely too cheap with just a $14 salary. He’s already taken over the majority of the work in the Jets backfield and has found the endzone two weeks in a row. The Patriots are a middle-of-the-road defense that doesn’t need to be avoided, and Carter is too much of a value to ignore.
Terry McLaurin @ GB – $25
McLaurin has run hot and cold this season, finishing either inside the top four or outside the top 45 each week. Now coming off two down weeks, his salary is enticingly low. He’s seen more than twice as many targets as any other player in Washington and has the talent to far outproduce his price.
Calvin Ridley @ MIA – $23
Ridley appears to be easily forgotten after sitting out Atlanta’s game in London with a personal issue. He’s still an elite receiver, and he gets to take on a Miami team that’s allowing the third-most fantasy points/game to wide receivers. His salary may be creeping closer to $30 next week, so take advantage while you can.
Sterling Shepard vs. CAR – $19
Dante Pettis vs. CAR – $10
The Giants are still reeling with all the wideout injuries that have piled up. Shepard will undoubtedly lead the team in targets again to easily pay off his mid-range salary. Pettis, meanwhile, should be involved again after getting his career resurrected with 11 targets last week. It’s always nice to roster a receiver that could see more targets than the cost it takes to get him in your lineup.
Jaylen Waddle vs. ATL – $16
Waddle exploded for two touchdowns on ten catches last week, and his salary hasn’t caught up. I love stacking him with Tagovvailoa in tournaments.
Robby Anderson @ NYG – $11
Anderson has seen 29 targets over the last three weeks, but the production hasn’t followed yet. He’s a receiver that I’d never feel good having in a season-long lineup, and I wouldn’t touch him in cash, but his volatility makes him a great tournament option.
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Travis Kelce @ WAS – $28
This is another example of the odd pricing on Yahoo. Kelce had a solid game in Week 6, but his salary dropped two dollars. I’ll gladly pay a wide receiver-type salary to get Kelce in my tight slot this week, especially given the expected game environment with plenty of points to go around.
Dallas Goedert @ LV – $17
Now that Zach Ertz is out of town, Goedert is in line to see nearly all of the tight end targets in Philly. Either Ertz or Goedert was a top-eight fantasy tight end in four of the six Eagle games this season, now Goedert no longer needs to share those fantasy points.
Anthony Firkser vs. KC – $12
For a dart-throw tight end this week, let’s go back to the game with the highest expected point total on the week. If the game environment delivers, Firkser has a better chance than similarly priced tight ends to catch a touchdown. That’s all you need at his discount salary.
Tampa Bay vs. CHI – $13
The Buccanneers have been the strongest rush defense in the league, allowing just 54.8 rushing yards/game. The pressure will be on Justin Fields to make plays through the air, leading to potential turnovers. So far this season Fields has fumbled three times and thrown three picks, and more could be coming this week.
Kansas City @ TEN – $11
I’ve gone on and on in this article about how many points are expected in this game, and I’m still comfortable slotting in the Kansas City defense. If the Chiefs get out to a lead early on the Titans and their bottom-ten scoring defense, they can take Derrick Henry out of the game and force Tennessee to drop back and pass more than they’d like. More dropbacks lead to more sacks and interceptions, which lead to fantasy points for the defense.
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