Welcome to today’s Morning MLB DFS Picks article. In this article I will go game by game and quickly highlight some MLB Picks in good spots today each game. I will try not to make this a “deep dive” style article, but, I tend to get a little carried away so forgive me in advance.
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Early Game
ATL @ CHC 2:20pm
Z.Davies – 4.83 xFIP only a 17.5% K rate – 177 iso vs LHB
– targets – Acuna, Freeman, Ozuna
D.Smyly (L) – 341/322 woba/iso 44% FB 49% HC vs LHB
357/224 wob/iso 41% FB 48% HC vs RHB
– targets – Contreras, Bryant, Baez
*** MAIN SLATE ***
ARI @ WAS 7:05pm
M.Scherzer
elite 3.06 xFIP and 33.3% K Rate
If we’re going to pick on him it’s going to be with LHB 330/187 woba/iso 38% FB and 40% HC allowed vs LHB
– targets – Calhoun, Peralta, Vanmeter
T.Widener (small sample)
411/333 woba/iso 47% FB 43% HC vs LHB
– targets – Soto, Bell, Schwarber
TB @ NYY 7:05pm
D.Garcia (small sample)
354/269 woba/iso 50% HC vs RHB
– targets – Meadows, Arozarena, Lowe
M.Wacha
343/194 woba/iso vs LHB
391/251 woba/iso 43% HC vs RHB
– targets – everyone? LeMahieu, Judge, Hicks, Stanton, Torres, Urshela
STL @ PHI 7:05pm
Z.Eflin
360/255 woba/iso 40% FB vs LHB
solid vs RHB only 294/133 woba/iso
– targets – Carpenter is the best lefty, while Goldy and Arenado can always be used as one offs
C.Martinez
352/206 woba/iso 45% HC vs RHB
– targets – McCutchen, Hoskins, Harper, Realmuto
CHW @ BOS 7:10pm
N.Pivetta
358/242 woba/iso 40% HC vs LHB
371/239 woba/iso 42% HC vs RHB
– targets – Abreu, Moncada, Mercedes, Grandal
D.Cease
376/247 woba/iso only 17.2% K rate vs LHB
189 iso vs RHB
– targets – Verdugo, Devers, Martinez, Bogaerts
CLE @ CIN 7:10pm
J.Hoffman
345/198 woba/iso vs LHB
444/352 woba/iso 41% FB 46% HC vs RHB
– targets – Ramirez, Rosario
L.Allen (L) (small sample)
349/205 woba/iso vs LHB
372/170 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Castellanos, Suarez, Moustakas, Aquino
SFG @ MIA 7:10pm
D.Castano (L) (small sample)
348/156 woba/iso vs LHB only a 14.7% K rate
306/134 woba/iso vs RHB onnly a 7.6% K rate
– targets – Slater, Yaz, Solano, Ruf, Longoria
A.DeSclafani
343/207 woba/iso 44% FB 44% HC vs LHB
much better 284/159 woba/iso 29% FB vs RHB
– targets – Dickerson, Marte, Duvall
BAL @ TEX 8:05pm
M.Foltynewicz
313/234 woba/iso vs LHB
330/207 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Mancini, Santander
J.Lopez
398/257 woba/iso 44% HC vs LHB
323/175 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Dahl, Gallo, Lowe
PIT @ MIL 8:10pm
A.Houser
367/195 woba/iso 40% HC vs LHB
very good vs RHB 277/124 woba/iso only 16.6% FB rate
– targets – Reynolds, Moran
J.Brubaker
333/125 woba/iso vs LHB
304/182 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Yelich, Vogelbach, Hiura
TOR @ KC 8:10pm
M.Minor (L)
solid wona/iso numbers vs both LHB and RHB but near 40% FB rate allowed to both
– targets – Semien, Bichette, Grichuk, Gurriel
S.Matz (L)
342/190 woba/iso vs LHB
339/227 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Merrifield, Perez, Santana, Soler, Taylor, Dozier
NYM @ COL 8:40pm
C.Gonzalez
373/202 woba/iso vs LHB
326/181 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Lindor, Smith, Alonso, McNeil, Conforto
J. deGrom
Top 3 SP in the game, likely not stacking vs him, but, it’s Coors Field so…
– targets – Story, Blackmon, McMahon
MIN @ LAA 9:38pm
A.Heaney (L)
337/150 woba/iso vs LHB
305/195 woba/iso 43% FB 46% HC vs RHB
– targets – Buxton, Donaldson, Cruz, Garver, Garlick, Sano
L.Thorpe (L) (small sample)
451/258 woba/iso vs LHB
396/201 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Ohtani, Trout, Pujols
DET @ OAK 9:40pm
F.Montas 343/194 woba/iso vs LHB
solid vs RHB only 282/130 woba/iso
– targets – Nunez, Bddoo
J.Urena
398/232 woba/iso 42% HC only 12.9% K rate vs LHB
– targets – Lowrie, Olson, Canha, Chapman
HOU @ SEA 10:10pm
Y.Kikuchi (L)
313/188 woba/iso vs LHB
361/227 woba/iso vs RHB
– targets – Gurriel, Correa
J.Urquidy
351/205 woba/iso 43% FB 43% HC vs RHB
– targets – Haniger, France, Seager
LAD @ SD 10:10pm
R.Weathers (L) (small sample)
only 13 batters faced vs LHB and RHB since 2019
– targets – Turner, Muncy, Taylor, Pollock
W.Buehler
elite 3.34 xFIP and 29.4% K rate
– targets – Grisham, Tatis, Machado, Hosmer, Croneworth
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Rise or Fall MLB Tools 2021
MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)
The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.
MLB Strategy Notebook
The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!
MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)
The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.
MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.MLB DFS Core Builds (Cash and GPP)
The MLB DFS Core Builds are also referred to as our MLB DFS Building Blocks. Each staff member identifies the core players they would build their Cash or GPP lineup around for both DraftKings and FanDuel. These MLB DFS Picks are basically the Building Blocks of their MLB DFS Lineups.
MLB Strategy Notebook
The MLB Strategy Notebook gives our staff a place to write notes specific to each slate for members to read regarding strategy for each slate. They will mention which stacks they are targeting, which players make more sense for GPP formats over Cash formats and other lineup building tidbits!
MLB DFS Picks and Pools (GPP Priority Picks)
The MLB DFS Picks and Pools for GPP’s is crucial for Single Entry players. This list of priority picks are players with slate-winning upside each night. They aren’t just the top projected players, they are picks that take into consideration the Rise or Fall ownership projection, tournament leverage, and daily fantasy baseball roster construction.
MLB Stacks for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft
The MLB Stacks will display the top stacks of the day using the data from the MLB Study Hub! This will display what teams project the best, which will be higher owned, and a player-by-player breakdown to show which players could be going overlooked.
