MLB DFS Preview Wednesday 4/10/24

Los Angeles Dodgers at Minnesota Twins – 1:10 PM EDT – Target Field

• Pitching Matchup: Bobby Miller (RHP) vs. Chris Paddack (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Dodgers -180, O/U 9
• Insights:
  • Miller shows promise with a solid 0.276 xWOBA and 3.80 SIERA, indicating potential for a strong performance.
  • Paddack, on the other hand, struggles are highlighted by a 0.404 xWOBA. This could lead to an advantage for the Dodgers’ hitters.
  • Key Point: Dodgers’ offense looks primed to exploit Paddack’s weaknesses, especially given their potency against right-handers.

Philadelphia Phillies at St. Louis Cardinals – 1:15 PM EDT – Busch Stadium

• Pitching Matchup: Aaron Nola (RHP) vs. Lance Lynn (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Phillies -126, O/U 8
• Insights:
  • Nola and Lynn both present vulnerabilities with elevated xERAs of 5.30 and 4.77, respectively, suggesting hitters might have the upper hand.
  • The Phillies’ offense has shown ability against right-handed pitching, which could tip the scales.
  • Key Point: Expect a competitive, possibly high-scoring game, given the pitchers’ profiles and the offensive capabilities of both teams.

Seattle Mariners at Toronto Blue Jays – 3:07 PM EDT – Rogers Centre

• Pitching Matchup: Logan Gilbert (RHP) vs. Yusei Kikuchi (LHP)
• Vegas Line: Mariners -112, O/U 8
• Insights:
  • Gilbert edges out with better metrics, suggesting a slight advantage for the Mariners.
  • Both teams’ offenses have the potential to challenge the opposing pitchers, making this an intriguing matchup.
  • Key Point: Mariners’ success against lefties could be crucial in this evenly matched game.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Colorado Rockies – 3:10 PM EDT – Coors Field

• Pitching Matchup: Tommy Henry (LHP) vs. Austin Gomber (LHP)
• Vegas Line: Diamondbacks -142, O/U 12.5
• Insights:
  • High run total indicative of Coors Field’s impact and the pitchers’ struggles, setting the stage for a potential slugfest.
  • Diamondbacks’ robust offense against left-handers positions them favorably.
  • Key Point: Anticipate plenty of offensive action, with the Diamondbacks potentially having the edge.

Washington Nationals at San Francisco Giants – 3:45 PM EDT – Oracle Park

• Pitching Matchup: Patrick Corbin (LHP) vs. Jordan Hicks (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Giants -200, O/U 8
• Insights:
  • Hicks’ impressive stats, including a 1.98 xERA, make him a formidable opponent for the Nationals.
  • Corbin’s challenges (4.67 xERA) might open opportunities for the Giants’ hitters.
  • Key Point: Giants’ pitching advantage could be the deciding factor in this matchup.

Tampa Bay Rays at Los Angeles Angels – 4:07 PM EDT – Angel Stadium

• Pitching Matchup: Zack Littell (RHP) vs. Griffin Canning (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Rays -132, O/U 9
• Insights:
  • Littell’s promising metrics suggest he could contain the Angels’ lineup.
  • Canning’s struggles are a concern for the Angels, potentially giving the Rays an offensive advantage.
  • Key Point: The Rays have a clear edge, thanks to their pitching and Canning’s vulnerabilities.

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians – 6:10 PM EDT – Progressive Field

• Pitching Matchup: Erick Fedde (RHP) vs. Tanner Bibee (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Guardians -235, O/U 8
• Insights:
  • Despite Fedde’s poor indicators, his matchup against a strong Guardians lineup will be challenging.
  • Bibee’s superior stats suggest he could dominate the White Sox hitters.
  • Key Point: Guardians are the favorites, largely due to their pitching advantage and offensive capabilities.

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres – 6:40 PM EDT – Petco Park

• Pitching Matchup: Kyle Hendricks (RHP) vs. Dylan Cease (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Padres -138, O/U 8
• Insights:
  • Hendricks faces a tough task against a Padres lineup that can exploit right-handed pitching.
  • Cease’s solid metrics position him well to handle the Cubs’ hitters.
  • Key Point: Padres hold the advantage both on the mound and at the plate, making them a strong play.

Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds – 6:40 PM EDT – Great American Ball Park

• Pitching Matchup: Wade Miley (LHP) vs. Hunter Greene (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Reds -136, O/U 9
• Insights:
  • Both pitchers show vulnerability, but Greene’s high strikeout potential could be key.
  • The Brewers’ ability to handle right-handed pitching will be tested against Greene.
  • Key Point: This could be a closer contest than anticipated, with the potential for high offensive output.

Miami Marlins at New York Yankees – 7:05 PM EDT – Yankee Stadium

• Pitching Matchup: Ryan Weathers (LHP) vs. Marcus Stroman (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Yankees -205, O/U 8.5
• Insights:
  • Stroman’s solid metrics give the Yankees a strong starting advantage.
  • Weathers will need to overcome significant odds to hold back the Yankees’ lineup.
  • Key Point: Yankees’ pitching and offensive power make them a clear favorite.

Baltimore Orioles at Boston Red Sox – 7:10 PM EDT – Fenway Park

• Pitching Matchup: Cole Irvin (LHP) vs. Kutter Crawford (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Red Sox -110, O/U 9
• Insights:
  • Both pitchers have concerning metrics, suggesting hitters could thrive in this matchup.
  • The game could swing on which bullpen provides better support.
  • Key Point: Expect a balanced, potentially high-scoring game.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves – 7:20 PM EDT – Truist Park

• Pitching Matchup: Jose Quintana (LHP) vs. Allan Winans (RHP)
• Vegas Line: TBD
• Insights:
  • Quintana’s struggles are a concern, especially against a Braves lineup that excels against lefties.
  • Winans presents an unknown quantity but with decent past performance metrics.
  • Key Point: Braves’ offensive advantage against left-handers could be the difference-maker.

Houston Astros at Kansas City Royals – 7:40 PM EDT – Kauffman Stadium

• Pitching Matchup: Spencer Arrighetti (RHP) vs. Seth Lugo (RHP)
• Vegas Line: Astros -120, O/U 9
• Insights:
  • Lugo’s solid metrics suggest he can hold his own against the Astros.
  • This matchup appears evenly matched on paper, with slight pitching edges on both sides.
  • Key Point: A tight contest is expected, with bullpen performance potentially pivotal.

Oakland Athletics at Texas Rangers – 8:05 PM EDT – Globe Life Field

• Pitching Matchup: Ross Stripling (RHP) vs. Cody Bradford (LHP)
• Vegas Line: Rangers -188, O/U 9
• Insights:
  • Stripling faces a tough Rangers lineup, especially given their strength against right-handers.
  • Bradford’s promising metrics position him well against the Athletics.
  • Key Point: Rangers have the upper hand, especially with their offensive and pitching matchup.

This comprehensive preview offers insights into today’s MLB DFS slate, focusing on pitcher matchups and potential game outcomes. Remember, every game has its intricacies, and paying attention to these details can help you find the edge in your DFS lineup. Good luck!