MLB DFS Top Hitters 4/21/24

Houston Astros at Washington Nationals – Nationals Park

• Jose Altuve (2B, HOU):
  • Price: $5300
  • Stats: .165 ISO, .342 xwOBA
  • Insight: Facing lefty Mitchell Parker, Altuve’s excellent xwOBA and solid ISO suggest he can leverage his matchup against a pitcher with only 5 innings pitched against RHBs showing a .214 xwOBA but minimal sample size.
• Yordan Alvarez (OF, HOU):
  • Price: $5600
  • Stats: .236 ISO, .396 xwOBA
  • Insight: Alvarez brings serious power against left-hand pitching. His elite xwOBA positions him well in a hitter-friendly environment against a less experienced pitcher.

Boston Red Sox at Pittsburgh Pirates – PNC Park

• Rafael Devers (3B, BOS):
  • Price: $5200
  • Stats: .204 ISO, .330 xwOBA
  • Insight: Devers’ power and above-average xwOBA make him a prime candidate to exploit Martin Perez, who struggles with a .346 xwOBA against RHBs.

Chicago White Sox at Philadelphia Phillies – Citizens Bank Park

• Bryce Harper (1B, PHI):
  • Price: $6000
  • Stats: .202 ISO, .407 xwOBA
  • Insight: Harper’s impressive xwOBA and strong ISO make him an excellent play against Nick Nastrini, who has shown vulnerability with a .357 xwOBA against righties despite limited innings.

Los Angeles Angels at Cincinnati Reds – Great American Ball Park

• Mike Trout (OF, LAA):
  • Price: $6500
  • Stats: .295 ISO, .409 xwOBA
  • Insight: Despite being a known entity, Trout’s matchup against Frankie Montas, who shows a higher .276 xwOBA against RHBs, can be exploitative given Trout’s elite hitting profile.

Under the Radar Plays

Oakland Athletics at Cleveland Guardians – Progressive Field

• Seth Brown (OF, OAK):
  • Price: $3100
  • Stats: .191 ISO, .322 xwOBA
  • Insight: Brown offers value in a matchup against Tanner Bibee, who has a .301 xwOBA against RHBs. His power potential and lower price make him a sneaky play in DFS today.

Milwaukee Brewers at St. Louis Cardinals – Busch Stadium

• Willy Adames (SS, MIL):
  • Price: $4300
  • Stats: .195 ISO, .338 xwOBA
  • Insight: Facing Sonny Gray, who has been solid, Adames’ ability to hit for power and create scoring opportunities gives him an edge, especially given Gray’s .300 xwOBA against RHBs.

Key Insights for Today’s Matchups

• Check the weather: Cooler temperatures across several games could influence power numbers.
• Ballpark factors: Consider how each ballpark plays, with hitters at Great American Ball Park and Citizens Bank Park often benefiting from hitter-friendly dimensions.
• Pitcher matchups: Dive deep into the pitcher vs. batter matchups, focusing on xwOBA and ISO to identify potential high-value hitters.

Today’s DFS slate offers a mix of high-upside stars and value plays that can maximize scoring. Be strategic about integrating these insights into your lineup to gain a competitive edge.