MLB DFS Top Stacks 4/17/24

1. New York Mets vs. Bailey Falter (Pirates)

• Key Pitcher Stats: Bailey Falter – 5.17 ERA, .393 xWOBA, .337 ISO allowed vs LHB
• Top Mets Hitters:
  • Pete Alonso (1B) – .326 ISO, .400 xWOBA vs LHP
  • Francisco Lindor (SS) – .289 ISO, .375 xWOBA vs LHP
  • Starling Marte (OF) – .354 xWOBA vs LHP
• Why This Stack:
  • Falter’s high ERA and exceptionally poor performance metrics against left-handers make him a prime target. Alonso and Lindor’s power and Marte’s on-base skills create a perfect storm for big innings.
  • The Mets’ overall strong performance against left-handed pitching enhances their potential for high run production.

2. Atlanta Braves vs. J.P. France (Astros)

• Key Pitcher Stats: J.P. France – 4.27 ERA, .362 xWOBA vs RHB
• Top Braves Hitters:
  • Ronald Acuña Jr. (OF) – .248 ISO, .447 xWOBA vs RHP
  • Matt Olson (1B) – .344 ISO, .407 xWOBA vs RHP
  • Austin Riley (3B) – .217 ISO, .355 xWOBA vs RHP
• Why This Stack:
  • France’s struggles against right-hand hitters and relatively high ERA position the Braves’ power hitters to exploit his weaknesses, particularly Acuña and Riley with their high slugging percentages.
  • Olson provides additional left-handed power against France, who shows vulnerability across the board, making this stack potent for DFS.

3. San Diego Padres vs. Freddy Peralta (Brewers)

• Key Pitcher Stats: Freddy Peralta – 3.73 ERA, .289 xWOBA vs RHB
• Top Padres Hitters:
  • Fernando Tatis Jr. (OF) – .185 ISO, .353 xWOBA vs RHP
  • Manny Machado (3B/SS) – .195 ISO, .320 xWOBA vs RHP
  • Jake Cronenworth (1B) – .169 ISO, .339 xWOBA vs RHP
• Why This Stack:
  • Despite Peralta’s strong strikeout ability, his xWOBA suggests some susceptibility to quality hits. Tatis, Machado, and Cronenworth can capitalize on any mistakes, especially given their combined power and on-base skills.
  • Stacking Padres could be a contrarian move given Peralta’s reputation, potentially offering lower ownership and high upside.

Final Thoughts

The top stacks for today’s MLB DFS slate focus on exploiting pitcher weaknesses with high-caliber hitters who have demonstrated the ability to capitalize on these specific matchup vulnerabilities.

The Mets and Braves offer the clearest opportunities due to the opposing pitchers’ evident struggles, while the Padres provide a higher-risk, high-reward scenario against a normally tough pitcher showing some cracks in his armor. When constructing your DFS lineups, consider these stacks for their potential to maximize points through concentrated offensive production.