MLB DFS Top Stacks 4/26/24

1. Baltimore Orioles vs. Ross Stripling (RHP, Athletics)

• Key Opponent Stats: Stripling has a high xWOBA of .356 and an ERA of 5.35, indicating vulnerability.
• Baltimore’s Hitters to Stack:
  • Gunnar Henderson (SS): Power (.289 ISO) and great on-base ability (.384 xWOBA).
  • Adley Rutschman (C): Excellent plate discipline (11.6% BB%) contributes to a strong .346 xWOBA.
  • Ryan Mountcastle (1B): Though his ISO is lower (.120), he can capitalize on Stripling’s high hard-contact rate.

Insight:

• Dominant Offense: The Orioles have a high collective xWOBA against right-handed pitching, making them prime candidates to exploit Stripling’s weaknesses.
• Ballpark Factor: Camden Yards supports hitter-friendly conditions, enhancing the potential for this stack.

2. Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chris Bassitt (RHP, Blue Jays)

• Key Opponent Stats: Bassitt’s xWOBA is elevated at .345 against right-handers, with a higher ERA of 3.64.
• Dodgers’ Hitters to Stack:
  • Mookie Betts (2B/SS): Elite xWOBA of .400 and a strong ISO of .246 showcase his all-around offensive capabilities.
  • Freddie Freeman (1B): Consistent hitter with a .412 xWOBA and .211 ISO against righties.
  • Will Smith (C): Adds value with a solid .355 xWOBA and a knack for getting on base.

Insight:

• Potent Lineup: The Dodgers’ offense is known for its depth and power, which could be particularly effective against Bassitt’s tendency to allow hits.
• Matchup Advantage: Bassitt’s vulnerability to left-handers enhances the appeal of lefty hitters like Freeman and Smith.

3. Texas Rangers vs. Graham Ashcraft (RHP, Reds)

• Key Opponent Stats: Ashcraft sports a 4.61 SIERA and a .348 xWOBA against right-handers.
• Rangers’ Hitters to Stack:
  • Corey Seager (SS): High power potential with a .291 ISO and a robust .434 xWOBA.
  • Adolis Garcia (OF): Another power hitter with a .270 ISO and .370 xWOBA.
  • Nathaniel Lowe (1B): Adds on-base skill (.354 xWOBA) and decent power (.171 ISO).

Insight:

• High Scoring Potential: The Rangers face Ashcraft, who has struggled to contain hitters, providing a ripe situation for Texas’ power bats.
• Stack Synergy: Combining Texas’ left and right power bats maximizes coverage against Ashcraft’s overall pitching vulnerabilities.

Under-the-Radar Stack

Miami Marlins vs. Trevor Williams (RHP, Nationals)

• Key Opponent Stats: Williams has an ERA of 5.20 and a high xWOBA of .346 against righties.
• Marlins’ Hitters to Stack:
  • Jazz Chisholm Jr. (OF): High ISO (.230) and dynamic playmaking ability.
  • Jesus Sanchez (OF): Offers power (.199 ISO) and a solid .357 xWOBA.
  • Garrett Cooper (1B): Consistent hitter with a knack for getting on base (.345 xWOBA).

Insight:

• Exploiting Weaknesses: Williams’ high ERA and xWOBA suggest that Marlins’ key hitters could capitalize extensively.
• Value Play: This stack might be less popular, providing a unique angle in large tournaments for differential scoring.

Key Insights on Each Stack:

• Opponent Analysis: Identifying pitchers with high ERAs and xWOBA who allow substantial hard contact or struggle with specific platoon splits can guide effective stack choices.
• Statistical Backing: Leveraging ISO and xWOBA helps confirm the potential for high-scoring plays from stacked lineups.
• Strategic Diversity: Mixing popular stacks with less obvious ones can differentiate lineups in large-field DFS contests.

These strategies for stacking in today’s games highlight where players can expect the most significant offensive output, taking into account both prominent and less-visible factors that could impact performance.