MLB DFS Top Stacks Early Slate 4/23/24

1. Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Patrick Corbin (Washington Nationals)

• Time and Location: 6:45 PM EDT at Nationals Park
• Weather: Clear conditions, minimal impact expected.

Why Stack the Dodgers:

• Pitcher’s Struggles: Corbin has an alarming 5.52 ERA and an even worse 6.68 xERA in 2024, showcasing his difficulties in controlling games.
• Poor Pitcher Stats: His .395 xWOBA and .379 wOBA allowed to right-handers highlight his struggle against them, making RHBs particularly potent.
• Top Stack Candidates:
  • Mookie Betts (R) – Elite .438 xWOBA and .342 ISO against lefties.
  • Will Smith (R) – Solid power with a .340 xWOBA against LHP.
  • Trea Turner (R) – High-contact player who can exploit Corbin’s weaknesses.

2. Philadelphia Phillies vs. Andrew Abbott (Cincinnati Reds)

• Time and Location: 6:40 PM EDT at Great American Ball Park
• Weather: Slightly cool, dry; ideal conditions for hitting.

Why Stack the Phillies:

• Vulnerable Pitcher: Abbott’s 3.66 ERA and 4.40 SIERA indicate potential for runs.
• Exploit Left-Handedness: Abbott has shown particular susceptibility to right-handed batters with a .323 xWOBA.
• Top Stack Candidates:
  • Alec Bohm (R) – Impressive .354 xWOBA and .290 ISO against LHP.
  • Nick Castellanos (R) – Power threat with a .316 xWOBA vs. lefties.

3. Tampa Bay Rays vs. Kenta Maeda (Detroit Tigers)

• Time and Location: 6:50 PM EDT at Tropicana Field
• Weather: Dome; no weather impact.

Why Stack the Rays:

• Maeda’s Inconsistencies: Despite some solid K-rates, Maeda’s 4.72 ERA and 6.35 xERA in 2024 suggest he can be exploited.
• Right-Handed Heavy: Maeda struggles more significantly against right-handers (.341 wOBA allowed).
• Top Stack Candidates:
  • Randy Arozarena (R) – Strong .344 xWOBA and power potential.
  • Yandy Diaz (R) – Consistent on-base skills with a .355 xWOBA.
  • Isaac Paredes (R) – High .309 xWOBA, adds depth to the stack.

Under the Radar Stack

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates)

• Why Consider This Stack:
  • Falter’s Weaknesses: With a 5.10 ERA and a .381 xWOBA allowed to left-handers, Falter is vulnerable, and the Brewers’ righties could capitalize.
  • Top Stack Candidates:
    • Willy Adames (R) – Strong against left-handed pitching with a .347 xWOBA.
    • Andrew McCutchen (R) – Veteran presence with a .357 xWOBA against RHP, likely to exploit any mistakes.

Strategic Insights:

When building DFS stacks, consider not just individual matchups but also the collective potential of a lineup to exploit a pitcher’s weaknesses. Factors such as ballpark conditions, pitcher vs. batter splits, and recent form should all be considered to maximize your scoring potential.

Today’s suggested stacks focus on exploiting pitchers who have shown susceptibility to giving up runs, particularly to batters who match up well against their specific weaknesses.