MLB DFS Top Pitchers Opening Day 3/28/24

1. Pablo Lopez (Twins vs. Royals)

• Matchup: Facing the Royals at Kauffman Stadium.
• Key Stats: Sporting a 25.6% K% against lefties and an even more impressive 33.0% K% against righties, Lopez showcases an ability to generate swings and misses across the board. His xwOBA sits at a stellar .249 against right-handers, underscoring his effectiveness.
• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • The Royals’ lineup has vulnerabilities that Lopez can exploit, especially given his high strikeout rates.
  • Kauffman Stadium’s expansive outfield can help suppress extra-base hits, benefiting a pitcher like Lopez who excels at limiting hard contact.
  • Given the weather conditions (50°, 1% Prec, Humid: 29%), expect a pitcher-friendly environment that further boosts Lopez’s value.

2. Logan Webb (Giants vs. Padres)

• Matchup: Taking on the Padres at Petco Park.
• Key Stats: Logan Webb’s ground ball-centric approach (24.2% K% vs lefties, 21.4% vs righties) is amplified by his ability to suppress ISO (.109 vs lefties, .143 vs righties), pointing towards his capability to control the game.
• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Petco Park’s dimensions and the game’s weather conditions are a boon for pitchers, making Webb’s ground ball tendencies even more effective.
  • The Padres, while formidable, will have to contend with Webb’s skill at inducing soft contact, making high-scoring innings less likely.
  • Webb’s efficiency and ability to pitch deep into games provide a solid floor for DFS points through innings and strikeouts.

3. Tyler Glasnow (Dodgers vs. Cardinals)

• Matchup: Hosts the Cardinals at Dodger Stadium.
• Key Stats: With a jaw-dropping 32.8% K% against lefties and 32.5% vs righties, Glasnow has the raw strikeout ability to rack up DFS points quickly. His xwOBA is also excellent (.293 vs lefties, .296 vs righties), indicating his overall dominance.
• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Glasnow’s ability to generate strikeouts is unmatched in today’s slate, providing a high ceiling for DFS players.
  • Dodger Stadium, coupled with the pleasant weather (67°, 0% Prec, Humid: 47%), presents an ideal setting for Glasnow to excel.
  • The Cardinals have potent hitters, but Glasnow’s strikeout prowess can neutralize even the most dangerous lineups.

Our MLB DFS Study Hub is a comprehensive resource for analyzing player and team performance statistics across all MLB games.

4. Jose Berrios (Blue Jays vs. Rays)

• Matchup: Against the Rays at Tropicana Field.
• Key Stats: Berrios shows a consistent ability to handle hitters from both sides of the plate, with a 23.9% K% against lefties and a solid 23.1% K% versus righties. His xwOBA (.340 vs lefties, .310 vs righties) underscores his effectiveness.
• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Tropicana Field is known for being pitcher-friendly, which plays into Berrios’ strengths.
  • His balanced attack against both lefties and righties makes him a versatile pick for DFS, capable of handling the Rays’ mixed lineup.
  • Berrios’ ability to limit hard contact and generate strikeouts provides a stable DFS score potential.

5. Zach Eflin (Rays vs. Blue Jays)

• Matchup: Hosting the Blue Jays at Tropicana Field.
• Key Stats: Eflin’s standout stat is his strikeout capability, particularly impressive against right-handed batters with a 29.4% K%. His ability to keep the ball in the park and limit base runners (xwOBA of .264 vs righties) highlights his DFS potential.
• Why He’s a Top Play:
  • Facing a powerful Blue Jays lineup, Eflin’s strikeout ability will be crucial for DFS points.
  • The controlled environment of Tropicana Field eliminates weather variables, playing to Eflin’s strengths.
  • His recent form and matchup against a high-strikeout team like the Blue Jays provide a recipe for DFS success.

In DFS, the right pitcher can make all the difference. Today’s slate features pitchers who not only have favorable matchups but also possess the underlying statistics to back up their potential for high-scoring performances.

Whether it’s Lopez’s strikeout ability, Webb’s ground ball magic, Glasnow’s sheer dominance, Berrios’ consistency, or Eflin’s knack for silencing batters, each has a unique edge. Dive into today’s games with these insights, and may your DFS lineup thrive with these top pitching selections.