MLB DFS Top Stacks 4/29/24

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Jonathan Bowlan (Royals)

• • Matchup Insights:
    • Jonathan Bowlan has limited experience and has shown vulnerabilities, particularly against right-handers with a high .439 xwOBA and .333 ISO.
    • Toronto boasts a lineup with strong right-handed hitters like George Springer, Vladimir Guerrero Jr., and Bo Bichette, who could exploit Bowlan’s weaknesses.
  • Key Players:
    • George Springer: Strong on-base skills and power potential.
    • Vladimir Guerrero Jr.: Elite hitter with a high .376 xwOBA, capable of multiple extra-base hits.
    • Bo Bichette: Contact and power combination make him dangerous in this matchup.

New York Mets vs. Jameson Taillon (Cubs)

• • Matchup Insights:
    • Jameson Taillon struggles more significantly against lefties (.369 xwOBA, .239 ISO) which can be leveraged by the Mets’ left-handed hitters.
    • The Mets’ lineup depth provides multiple RBI opportunities, making them a formidable stack in DFS.
  • Key Players:
    • Brandon Nimmo: Excellent leadoff hitter with high on-base percentage and scoring potential.
    • Pete Alonso: Power-hitting prowess, capable of driving in multiple runs.
    • J.D. Martinez: High slugging percentage, thrives against pitchers who allow high ISO.

Philadelphia Phillies vs. Griffin Canning (Angels)

• • Matchup Insights:
    • Griffin Canning has been susceptible this season (.322 xwOBA against right-handers and .345 overall).
    • Phillies’ lineup contains a mix of power and speed, with several hitters showing great plate discipline and power metrics.
  • Key Players:
    • Bryce Harper: Always a threat at the plate with his ability to connect for power and average.
    • Kyle Schwarber: Known for his home run ability, particularly favorable in matchups against pitchers who give up high ISO.
    • Nick Castellanos: Offers a solid average and could capitalize on RBI opportunities in this stack.

Under-the-Radar Stack

San Diego Padres vs. Nick Lodolo (Reds)

• Matchup Insights:
  • Despite Nick Lodolo’s strong K-rate, his .327 xwOBA against right-handers points to vulnerabilities.
  • San Diego’s balanced lineup, especially with the mix of speed and power, can exploit Lodolo’s inconsistencies.
• Key Players:
  • Manny Machado: Elite hitter that can change the game with one swing.
  • Fernando Tatis Jr.: High ceiling player who can contribute in multiple facets (power, speed).
  • Xander Bogaerts: Consistent hitter, great at getting on base and scoring runs.

Final Thoughts

Today’s DFS strategy should heavily consider these stacks due to their potential high output driven by favorable matchups against pitchers with identifiable weaknesses. While the top stacks involve more popular choices, the under-the-radar Padres stack could differentiate your lineup in large field tournaments, offering a blend of high upside at potentially lower ownership percentages.