NBA Daily Fantasy Top Plays 4/29/24

Nikola Jokic (C – DEN)

• • Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets
  • Reasoning:
    • Jokic is a DFS powerhouse, averaging over 60 DraftKings points per game this season and even more in the playoffs.
    • Facing a Lakers team that struggles against elite centers, Jokic’s versatility and high usage rate (29%) make him a must-start.
    • The potential closeout game at home could see Jokic taking over, especially with Denver looking to finish the series.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (PG/SG – OKC)

• • Matchup: Oklahoma City Thunder at New Orleans Pelicans
  • Reasoning:
    • Leading his team in a potential sweep, SGA has a compelling blend of scoring and playmaking, vital for DFS.
    • His playoff performance has been slightly under his regular-season stats, but he’s due for a breakout with OKC poised to advance.
    • High floor due to his scoring ability, with increased potential if the game remains competitive.

Anthony Davis (PF/C – LAL)

• • Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets
  • Reasoning:
    • Davis has been a consistent performer in the playoffs, averaging over 50 DFS points.
    • With the Lakers’ backs against the wall, expect Davis to be heavily involved in both scoring and rebounding.
    • His dual eligibility on DFS platforms offers valuable lineup flexibility.

Tyler Herro (PG/SG – MIA)

• • Matchup: Boston Celtics at Miami Heat
  • Reasoning:
    • With key injuries on the Heat, Herro has stepped up as the primary offensive option, evidenced by his increased shot volume and usage.
    • Despite tough competition, Herro’s ability to score in bunches gives him a high ceiling.
    • Must-win scenario for Miami likely means extended minutes and usage for Herro.

Jamal Murray (PG – DEN)

• • Matchup: Los Angeles Lakers at Denver Nuggets
  • Reasoning:
    • Known for his playoff performances, Murray brings exceptional value at his price point.
    • With an average nearing 50 DFS points against the Lakers in previous meetings, his history suggests another strong outing.
    • Injury concerns may reduce his ownership, providing a potential edge for savvy DFS players.

Key Insights on Matchups:

• Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers: This game features high stakes with Denver having the opportunity to close out the series. High-usage players like Jokic and Murray are primed for big performances due to the competitive nature of a closeout game.
• Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New Orleans Pelicans: The Thunder are looking to complete a sweep. High-paced gameplay should benefit key players like SGA, who thrives in fast-transition and high-scoring environments.
• Boston Celtics vs. Miami Heat: With Miami fighting to stay alive in the series, expect their main scorers like Herro to take more responsibilities, especially with key players injured. Boston’s defensive prowess might make scoring difficult, but the increased opportunity for Herro elevates his potential.

DFS Strategy Tips:

• High Ceiling vs. High Floor: Jokic and Davis represent high-floor options due to their consistent production and central roles. Players like Herro and Murray can swing for the fences but carry more risk.
• Game Script Considerations: For players like SGA and Davis, their team’s potential to stay competitive or face elimination can dictate usage and intensity, impacting DFS scores.
• Injury Updates: Always check for the latest on player injuries, especially for game-time decisions that could affect lineup decisions and player ownership.

With these insights and strategic considerations, your DFS lineups are poised to perform at their best. Remember, the playoffs can bring surprises, so stay updated until tip-off!