MLB DFS Top Stacks 4/8/24

1. Diamondbacks at Rockies (Kyle Freeland)

• Matchup Insight: Kyle Freeland’s performance against right-handers is particularly exploitable, with a high .246 ISO and a .392 xwOBA allowed. Given Coors Field’s reputation as a hitter’s paradise, the Diamondbacks are in a prime spot.
• Top Picks:
  • Christian Walker: His .295 ISO and .396 xwOBA against left-handers scream power potential in this matchup.
  • Ketel Marte: Marte shows excellent prowess with a .212 ISO and .361 xwOBA against lefties, making him a strong play.
  • Randal Grichuk: With a .270 ISO and .400 xwOBA, expect Grichuk to capitalize on Freeland’s vulnerability.

2. Dodgers at Twins (Bailey Ober)

• Matchup Insight: Ober’s .244 ISO allowed to right-handers signals potential trouble against the Dodgers’ lineup filled with high-caliber right-handed hitters.
• Top Picks:
  • Mookie Betts: His .258 ISO and .399 xwOBA against right-handers position him as a prime candidate for big points.
  • Shohei Ohtani: An incredible .366 ISO and .445 xwOBA mean Ohtani is a threat for any pitcher, especially in this favorable matchup.
  • Freddie Freeman: While a lefty, Freeman’s .220 ISO and .417 xwOBA against right-handers ensure his value in this stack.

3. Braves vs. Mets (Julio Teheran)

• Matchup Insight: Teheran’s struggles, especially a .222 ISO allowed to left-handers, align with the Braves’ left-handed power hitters, setting the stage for a high-scoring output.
• Top Picks:
  • Matt Olson: Olson’s impressive .351 ISO against righties makes him a must-start in this matchup.
  • Ronald Acuña Jr.: Although right-handed, Acuña’s exceptional .453 xwOBA makes him a versatile threat.
  • Austin Riley: Riley’s .214 ISO and .355 xwOBA position him well to contribute to the Braves’ offensive efforts.

4. Astros at Rangers (Andrew Heaney)

• Matchup Insight: Heaney shows a notable .195 ISO allowed to right-handers, making him a target for the right-heavy Astros lineup.
• Top Picks:
  • Jose Altuve: With a .183 ISO and .340 xwOBA against lefties, Altuve is set for success.
  • Yordan Alvarez: Despite being left-handed, Alvarez’s power (.214 ISO) and .389 xwOBA against lefties cannot be ignored.
  • Kyle Tucker: A .265 ISO and .392 xwOBA against left-handers make Tucker a high-upside option.

Key Insights for Today’s DFS Slate:

• Pitcher Matchups: Targeting pitchers with high ISOs allowed and poorer xwOBA metrics can uncover vulnerable matchups ripe for exploitation.
• Park Factors: Consider the venue, as some parks (like Coors Field) significantly enhance offensive potential.
• Balancing Stacks: While stacking against a pitcher’s weakness, balance your lineup with players who exhibit high ISO and xwOBA against the pitcher’s handedness.
• Weather Conditions: Always check the weather, as conditions can affect game outcomes and player performances.

By focusing on these matchups and leveraging the insights provided, DFS players can craft informed and strategically sound stacks poised for high-scoring outputs.