MLB DFS Top Stacks Early Slate 4/10/24

1. Dodgers vs. Twins (1:10 pm ET at Target Field)

• Weather & Conditions: Moderate hitter-friendly conditions with temps rising from 63° to 69°. The wind blows out to right field at up to 12mph, which could play into the hitters’ hands.
• Pitching Matchup Insight:
  • Bobby Miller (R) shows solid stats but has been more vulnerable against left-handed hitters with a higher ISO allowed (.155 vs. RHB). This opens up opportunities for the Twins’ lefties.
  • Chris Paddack (R) struggles more against right-handed hitters (.154 ISO and .331 xwOBA vs. RHB), making this a prime scenario for the Dodgers’ right-handed power bats.
• Dodgers Stack Recommendations:
  • Mookie Betts (R): Showcases a fantastic blend of power and on-base skills against righties (.255 ISO, .398 xwOBA).
  • Shohei Ohtani (L): A no-brainer with a monstrous .380 ISO and .449 xwOBA against RHP. Paddack’s struggles with righties actually benefit Ohtani given his power from the left side.
  • Freddie Freeman (L): Offers a high on-base potential (.418 xwOBA) and solid power (.218 ISO).
• Key Takeaway: The Dodgers’ stack is primed for big numbers today. Betts and Ohtani are must-haves for their elite power and on-base skills, with Freeman providing a high-floor option due to his consistency.

2. Diamondbacks vs. Rockies (3:10 pm ET at Coors Field)

• Weather & Conditions: Cool but thin air at Coors Field, with temperatures around 56°-57°. The ballpark’s altitude always plays in favor of the hitters, and a slight wind could help carry the ball further.
• Pitching Matchup Insight:
  • Tommy Henry (L) shows vulnerability against righties (.155 ISO and .321 xwOBA vs. RHB), making the right-handed bats of the Rockies particularly interesting.
  • Austin Gomber (L) has struggled across the board but especially against right-handed hitters (.203 ISO and .350 xwOBA vs. RHB), highlighting the Diamondbacks’ righties as top picks.
• Diamondbacks Stack Recommendations:
  • Christian Walker (R): His power is undeniable against lefties (.287 ISO, .401 xwOBA), making him a top pick in this stack.
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (R): Offers a strong batting profile (.174 ISO, .378 xwOBA vs. LHP) and should benefit from the matchup against Gomber.
  • Randal Grichuk (R): Another power bat that thrives against left-handed pitching (.264 ISO, .394 xwOBA).
• Key Takeaway: Coors Field is a hitter’s paradise, and today’s game is no exception. The Diamondbacks’ right-handed batters, especially Walker, Gurriel Jr., and Grichuk, are in a prime position to capitalize on Gomber’s weaknesses.

Honorable Mention Stack: Rays vs. Angels (4:07 pm ET at Angel Stadium)

Pitching Matchup Insight:

• Zack Littell (R) for the Rays has been relatively solid but shows some vulnerability to left-handed batters (.172 ISO vs. LHB). His performance suggests that power-hitting lefties from the Angels could exploit him.
• Jose Soriano (R) for the Angels displays a mix of high strikeout potential and volatility, especially against right-handers (.222 ISO allowed vs. RHB). This makes certain Rays hitters appealing for DFS purposes.

Rays Stack Recommendations:

• Brandon Lowe (L): His power against right-handed pitching stands out (.231 ISO, .344 xwOBA vs. RHP), making him a prime candidate to exploit any mistakes by Soriano.
• Randy Arozarena (R): Offers a blend of power and on-base skills (.150 ISO, .352 xwOBA vs. RHP), and could benefit from Soriano’s inconsistency.
• Isaac Paredes (R): While not the most consistent, Paredes’ power potential against righties (.270 ISO) is intriguing for DFS, especially given the matchup.

Angels Stack Recommendations:

• Mike Trout (R): Despite the righty-on-righty matchup, Trout’s elite power (.296 ISO, .414 xwOBA vs. RHP) makes him a must-consider in any Angels stack.
• Logan O’Hoppe (R): Shows promising power (.255 ISO vs. RHP) and could provide value at a potentially lower ownership.
• Brandon Drury (R): His power potential (.227 ISO vs. RHP) adds depth to an Angels stack, offering upside against Littell.

Key Takeaway:

The Rays vs. Angels game might not have the Coors Field factor or the high-profile allure of the Dodgers, but it presents a fertile ground for DFS points. Both teams possess hitters with significant upside against the day’s pitching matchup, making them worth considering for your stacks.

This game could be particularly strategic for GPPs, where differentiation is key. Players like Brandon Lowe and Mike Trout, despite their high-profile status, might come at lower ownership due to the depth of today’s slate, offering a blend of safety and upside.