NBA DFS Top Value Plays 3/11/24

Vasilije Micic (PG/SG – CHA): $5,800 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel

• • Matchup Insight: With LaMelo Ball sidelined, Micic has taken the reins as the Hornets’ starting point guard, demonstrating his capability to fill the stat sheet. His significant playing time boost and productive outings make him an underpriced asset in DFS.
  • Why a Value Play?: His consistent performance and expanded role due to team injuries offer a solid floor with the upside for more, especially against a Pistons defense that ranks 29th in efficiency.

Nick Richards (C – CHA): $5,700 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel

• • Matchup Insight: Richards is stepping up in the absence of Mark Williams and following the PJ Washington trade. The Pistons allow the third-most fantasy points to opposing centers, setting Richards up for a potentially big night.
  • Why a Value Play?: As the new starting center, his recent performances have outpaced his current pricing, making him an appealing option for those looking to spend less without sacrificing production at the center position.

Alex Caruso (PG/SG – CHI): $5,300 DraftKings, $5,900 FanDuel

1. • Matchup Insight: Caruso’s role has expanded in the wake of Zach LaVine‘s absence, resulting in increased fantasy outputs. His defensive prowess could translate into additional fantasy points against a high-scoring Mavericks backcourt.
   • Why a Value Play?: Priced as a bargain, Caruso’s all-around contributions, especially in steals and assists, provide a solid foundation for exceeding value, making him a savvy pick.

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Tre Jones (PG – SAS): $5,500 DraftKings, $5,800 FanDuel

• • Matchup Insight: With a consistent role as the Spurs’ starting point guard and improved performances with Wembanyama in the lineup, Jones is set to exploit a Warriors defense that’s middle-of-the-pack.
  • Why a Value Play?: His price hasn’t fully caught up to his productivity, especially considering his near 30-fantasy point average in this expanded role. Jones offers significant upside in a matchup that could see high-paced play.

Chris Paul (PG – GSW): $6,900 DraftKings, $7,000 FanDuel

• • Matchup Insight: Expected to start in Curry’s absence, Paul’s veteran savvy and playmaking abilities shine through, as demonstrated in his spot start on Saturday against the same Spurs team.
  • Why a Value Play?: Paul’s pricing is a relic of his usual backup role. However, with Curry sidelined, his increased minutes and usage translate to elevated DFS potential against a Spurs defense that’s generous to opposing guards.

Why These Picks Shine:

• Micic and Richards are prime examples of players stepping up due to team injuries, offering more production than their price tags suggest.
• Caruso and Jones benefit from increased roles and have matchups that allow them to exploit specific weaknesses in their opponents’ defenses.
• Paul, a seasoned veteran, temporarily takes on a starting role, making his production at his price point particularly appealing.

These value plays are not just budget-friendly options but also possess the potential to outperform their price tags, providing the flexibility to invest in higher-priced stars elsewhere in your lineup.

Remember, the key to DFS success often lies in identifying undervalued assets ready to exceed expectations, and today’s selections epitomize that strategy.