PGA DFS: Picks Preview for WGC Workday Championship 2021 on DraftKings, FanDuel, SuperDraft
We have an exciting week of PGA DFS with superb-looking slates on DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. This PGA DFS Picks Preview will highlight the course and provide information on the statistics you’ll need to focus on while using our PGA DFS Study Hub. Make sure to check out the PGA DFS Projections, Ownerships, and Ratings before you start to put together your lineups for DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft. They’re strong and allow you to focus on the PGA Core, Picks, and Content while building DFS Lineups.
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Course Preview
This week we won’t be in beautiful Mexico, but instead, we’ll be at the swamp (jk – I live here). This week we’ll be starting the Florida swing a week earlier in Bradenton, Fl. The field will have 72 golfers with them. Patrick Reed will be defending his title. Also, let’s not forget that this week is a no-cut event.
The Concession Golf Club is a par 72, 7400 yards, played on Bermuda grass. Jack Nicklaus designed the course alongside Tony Jacklin, so we already know what we have in store for us this week. There will be plenty of bunkers, and if the bunkers don’t get you, then the water will. There are 13 water holes in play and 73 bunkers.
Moving forward – there isn’t much to go on data-wise for this course. The 2015 NCAA Championship was held at this course and was won by Bryson Dechambeau. The Par 3’s are all over 180 yards, and three of them are over 205 yards. Next, we have three Par 4’s measuring over 450 yards. From my understanding, Golf Course Superintendent Terry Kennelly and his crew had just 46 days to prepare the course for this tournament after it was moved from Mexico.
- Strokes Gained: Approach
- Strokes Gained: Around The Green
- Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
- Strokes Gained: Putting
- Scrambling
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PGA DFS FanDuel Targets
- Jon Rahm ($11,900) – Rahm has always been one of my favorite targets in a WGC event. If you skim over to the RIse or Fall Study Hub, Rahm has had three top 10 finishes in WGC events. Last week, Rahm placed 5th after having a terrific round 4 by gaining over 4 total strokes.
- Daniel Berger ($10,600) – I have to admit I’m pretty shocked that Daniel is at this price range after winning at the AT&T Pro-Am. Daniel was born and raised in Florida, so if anyone there knows these greens, it’s him. Also, Per the Rise or Fall Strokes Gained tool, we can see that Daniel gains 0.14 strokes on Bermuda greens.
PGA DFS DraftKings Targets
- Webb Simpson ($9,100) – Webb is the fairway king! Per the Rise or Fall Important Stats Ranking Model, Webb is ranked 3rd in the PGA Tour in Driving Accuracy. Also, on the Rise or Fall Course Correlation Model, Webb is ranked 7th at TPC Sawgrass and 10th at Stadium Course.
- Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,500) – Not only did Fitz play extremely well at Genesis last week by finishing 5th. But my boy Fitzy is a beast on Bermuda greens. Last week he gained 2.5 strokes on his putter and it was on Poa greens. This week he’s playing on his type of grass. Per the Rise or Fall Strokes Gained model, Fitz gains over 0.74 strokes on Bermuda.
PGA DFS SuperDraft Targets
- Brendon Todd (1.2X) – Todd didn’t have his best game last week at Genesis, but he had 5 straight cuts made before that. This week he comes to a course that he should play well at. Per the Rise or Fall Strokes Gained Model, Todd gains 0.54 strokes on Bermuda greens. Todd is also ranked highly on the Course Correlation Model. He’s ranked 11th at Stadium Course and 26th at TPC Sawgrass.
- Marc Leishman (1.3X) – Leish has started the year much better than he did last year. He hasn’t missed a cut and is performing quite decently. If you look at the Rise or Fall Study Hub, you’ll notice the following finishes: 32nd, 18th, 4th, and 24th since the break. Leish has also gained 0.21 strokes on Bermuda.
PGA DFS DraftKings, FanDuel, and SuperDraft Rise or Fall Content
Study Hub
Each week our wizard CeeGee, provides a huge Study Hub. What’s a Study Hub? A Study Hub is where you’ll find every player playing in the upcoming event. You’ll be able to see a player’s recent form, long-term form, course history, strokes gained off the tee, approach, around the green, putter, tee to green, total strokes gained, bogey avoidance, sand saves, and birdie rate.
Course Correlation Model
One of our most important models is our CC Model. The CC Model allows you to see what courses fit best compared to the actual course. I try to stay anywhere from 93% to 80% in similarity. Once you access our sheets, you’ll notice from left to right all the courses similar to The Genesis Invitational and how each player has an individual rank and, lastly, a final rank. In this sheet, you’ll be able to identify which player is suited best for the course based on course similarity.
Important Rankings
Every week I post an article on Mondays (what you’re currently reading), giving you a course preview on what’s in store for the week. I also provide the top five most important stats that you should be using. That’s when this model comes into play. Each important stat is based on the PGA Tour Rankings. Lastly, I provide a final ranking making it easy on who is highly ranked.
Cash, GPP, Core Picks
On Wednesday nights, the Study Hub is updated once more, and it’s with my personal picks. All categorized on which player I like and in what format. Cash/GPP are self-explanatory, while my core picks are my lock plays. Also, my Risers are my most confident picks. So there’s a difference between a regular GPP play and a Riser/GPP play.
Showdown Content
This sheet contains picks, stats, building blocks, and weather. I update this sheet Friday-Sunday and provide you all the stats I can get my hands on. For those who don’t have enough time and aren’t a data junkie like myself, then the picks/building blocks will guide you to your cash or GPP builds.
Consistency vs. Trends
This model consists of Consistency/Baseline vs. Trend. The Consistency is measured over the last 12 months on a player’s performance. Look at it as a player average in baseball; .250 avg. And a Trend is how the player has been performing in the last 16 rounds or the last 4 events. This could be seen as if a player has been “hot” or “cold.” And in theory, this helps us determine who is performing well vs. underperforming. Every week I’ll be updating this model based on my weeklong picks.
Putting Data
This model is to guide you on how each player performs on a specific surface. So, one week we could have Poa stats, and the other week Bermuda greens. These strokes are currently being measured from the start of the 2020 season to the present.
Photo by Lenka Novotna on Pixabay
