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UFC 300 DFS Fight by Fight Breakdown

Chris Galligan 04/12/2024
UFC 300

UFC 300 DFS Fight by Fight Breakdown

Welcome to our UFC 300 DFS Fight by Fight Breakdown article. UFC 300 stands out not just as a milestone event but as a showcase of some of the most compelling matchups in the history of the sport. From top-tier veterans to rising stars, the card is loaded with fighters known for their dynamic and engaging fighting styles, promising a night full of action, drama, and unforgettable moments. 

Here’s a detailed breakdown of some key fights to watch out for, complete with Vegas odds and DFS implications:

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Deiveson Figueiredo vs. Cody Garbrandt

  • Vegas Odds: Figueiredo (-305), Garbrandt (+245)
  • DFS Salaries: Figueiredo ($9,100), Garbrandt ($7,100)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Deiveson Figueiredo is a formidable competitor, particularly in wrestling and grappling where he excels. His impressive record of 17 finishes in 22 wins highlights his aggressive approach and finishing capability.
  • Cody Garbrandt packs a punch and has shown knockout power, but his recent inconsistencies and lesser grappling skills might hinder his performance against a balanced fighter like Figueiredo.
  • DFS Insight: Figueiredo’s dominant style and high finishing rate make him a strong play in DFS, especially with his ability to end fights early. Garbrandt, while a riskier play, could provide value if he manages an upset.

Bobby Green vs. Jim Miller

  • Vegas Odds: Green (-180), Miller (+150)
  • DFS Salaries: Green ($8,600), Miller ($7,600)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Bobby Green’s high-volume striking and superior wrestling make him a tough opponent. With 20 finishes in 31 wins, his ability to control fights is well-documented.
  • Jim Miller, a veteran with significant experience, also has good wrestling skills but may lack the speed and striking power to best Green.
  • DFS Insight: This might not be a high-scoring DFS bout unless it ends in a finish. Green’s ability to manage the fight pace and avoid submissions should keep him safe, making him a safer but potentially lower-scoring DFS option.

Jessica Andrade vs. Marina Rodriguez

  • Vegas Odds: Andrade (-135), Rodriguez (+115)
  • DFS Salaries: Andrade ($8,100), Rodriguez ($8,100)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Jessica Andrade is known for her aggressive high-volume attack and strong grappling, which should serve her well in this matchup. Her power and ability to take fights to the ground are key assets.
  • Marina Rodriguez, while an effective striker with good reach, may struggle with Andrade’s pressure and physicality.
  • DFS Insight: Andrade’s all-around game and finishing ability make her a strong DFS contender, likely to score points through significant strikes and potential takedowns.

Jalin Turner vs. Renato Moicano

  • Vegas Odds: Turner (-240), Moicano (+195)
  • DFS Salaries: Turner ($8,900), Moicano ($7,300)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Jalin Turner uses his height and reach advantage effectively, combining it with a solid ground game. His perfect finish rate in wins suggests he’s dangerous whenever the fight is on his terms.
  • Renato Moicano’s strength lies in his grappling and submissions, but he may find it difficult to close the distance against a taller, rangier opponent like Turner.
  • DFS Insight: Expect Turner to leverage his striking and reach, potentially leading to a high-scoring DFS performance if he secures a finish. Moicano’s path to success seems narrower, particularly if he can’t bring the fight to the ground.

Sodiq Yusuff vs. Diego Lopes

  • Vegas Odds: Yusuff (+125), Lopes (-150)
  • DFS Salaries: Yusuff ($7,700), Lopes ($8,500)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Sodiq Yusuff brings a high-volume striking game to the octagon, which can be overwhelming for opponents who prefer a slower pace. Despite a minimal wrestling base, his finishing rate in strikes is notable.
  • Diego Lopes, contrasting Yusuff, leverages his wrestling and grappling skills significantly, with an impressive finish rate in his wins mostly through submissions.
  • DFS Insight: Lopes’s ground game could be the key difference-maker in this matchup. His ability to control fights on the mat and secure finishes makes him a potentially valuable DFS pick, especially against a striker like Yusuff.

Holly Holm vs. Kayla Harrison

  • Vegas Odds: Holm (+340), Harrison (-440)
  • DFS Salaries: Holm ($6,900), Harrison ($9,300)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Holly Holm’s strategy typically involves keeping her opponents at range or pinned against the cage, using her experience to manage the pace and distance of the fight.
  • Kayla Harrison, entering UFC with a robust judo background and superior grappling skills, is expected to dominate. Her ability to handle opponents on the ground and her impressive finish rate in previous promotions spotlight her strengths.
  • DFS Insight: Given the significant odds and Harrison’s dominant grappling, she’s a high-value DFS asset. Holm’s chances seem slim, and her DFS utility may be limited unless she can effectively use her striking and experience to manage the fight’s tempo.

Calvin Kattar vs. Aljamain Sterling

  • Vegas Odds: Kattar (+135), Sterling (-165)
  • DFS Salaries: Kattar ($7,800), Sterling ($8,400)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Calvin Kattar is known for his striking ability and high output, which could pose a challenge for Sterling if the fight stays standing.
  • Aljamain Sterling excels in wrestling and grappling, and his ability to control opponents on the ground has been a key to his success. The matchup poses a stylistic challenge for Kattar, who has struggled against top-level grapplers in the past.
  • DFS Insight: Sterling’s grappling edge makes him a strong DFS play as he is likely to score points through takedowns and control time. Kattar, while a riskier choice, could provide DFS value as an underdog if he manages to keep the fight on the feet and utilize his striking.

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Jiri Prochazka vs. Aleksandar Rakic

  • Vegas Odds: Prochazka (+100), Rakic (-120)
  • DFS Salaries: Prochazka ($8,000), Rakic ($8,200)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Jiri Prochazka, known for his aggressive, high-volume striking, comes into this fight with an outstanding record of finishing 28 of his 29 victories. His approach is sometimes seen as reckless, but his confidence and power are undeniable.
  • Aleksandar Rakic, on the other hand, presents a strong stand-up game complemented by significant knockout power. Despite his recent injury and long layoff since his last fight, Rakic remains a formidable opponent. However, his minimal grappling contribution could be a potential vulnerability.
  • DFS Insight: With both fighters favoring a stand-up battle, expect a high-paced, explosive fight. Prochazka’s slight underdog status and lower DFS salary make him an intriguing option given his finishing ability. Rakic’s layoff could be a concern for DFS players betting on his return to form.

Bo Nickal vs. Cody Brundage

  • Vegas Odds: Nickal (-2100), Brundage (+1100)
  • DFS Salaries: Nickal ($9,500), Brundage ($6,700)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Bo Nickal, arguably the brightest rising star in MMA, enters this fight with an unblemished record and a string of first-round finishes. His elite wrestling background and physical prowess make him a nightmare matchup for many.
  • Cody Brundage, while a solid grappler himself, appears outmatched in this contest. His recent performance history does not suggest he’ll pose much of a threat to Nickal.
  • DFS Insight: The DFS pricing reflects the expected dominance of Nickal. Although investing a large portion of the DFS budget on Nickal comes with its risks given his limited professional experience, his potential for a quick finish provides a high upside.

Charles Oliveira vs. Arman Tsarukyan

  • Vegas Odds: Oliveira (+185), Tsarukyan (-225)
  • DFS Salaries: Oliveira ($7,500), Tsarukyan ($8,700)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Charles Oliveira, former lightweight champion, brings a formidable submission game and striking skills into this bout. His resilience and ability to finish fights have been proven against top-tier opponents.
  • Arman Tsarukyan showcases excellent wrestling and striking, making him a well-rounded competitor. His performance has been solid in the UFC, although this is arguably his toughest test to date.
  • DFS Insight: Tsarukyan’s recent form and technical skills make him a strong DFS play, but Oliveira’s experience and lower salary could make him a valuable underdog pick. Oliveira’s knack for pulling off submissions could turn the tide against a grappling-heavy approach from Tsarukyan.

Justin Gaethje vs. Max Holloway

  • Vegas Odds: Gaethje (-175), Holloway (+145)
  • DFS Salaries: Gaethje ($8,800), Holloway ($7,400)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Justin Gaethje: Known as one of the most exciting fighters in MMA, Gaethje combines a ferocious high-volume striking approach with robust wrestling skills. Despite being perceived primarily as a striker, his wrestling base remains underutilized yet fundamentally solid, making him a complex challenge for any opponent. Gaethje’s ability to deliver devastating finishes with 21 knockouts in 25 wins underscores his prowess.
  • Max Holloway: A volume striker with incredible durability, Holloway’s style is marked by relentless pressure and an ability to absorb and respond to punishment. His move up to lightweight presents a new challenge where his size and length advantage at featherweight won’t translate as effectively.
  • DFS Insight: Both fighters are known for their durability and aggressive fighting styles, making this matchup likely to be a high-scoring affair in DFS terms. Gaethje’s power and Holloway’s volume are both viable for GPP contests. Given the high likelihood of a stand-up war filled with significant strikes, both fighters are solid picks, with Holloway providing excellent value at his price.

Co-Main Event: Zhang Weili vs. Yan Xiaonan

  • Vegas Odds: Zhang (-500), Yan (+380)
  • DFS Salaries: Zhang ($9,200), Yan ($7,000)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Zhang Weili: The reigning champion in the women’s strawweight division, Zhang is a dynamic fighter with a well-rounded skill set that includes high-level striking and grappling. Her dominance is illustrated by her overwhelming victory in her last title defense, where she outclassed her opponent in every facet of the game.
  • Yan Xiaonan: While Yan has shown resilience and skill, her path to this title shot is marked more by opportunity than dominance. Her striking is competent, but she lacks the same finishing power or grappling prowess as Zhang.
  • DFS Insight: Zhang’s comprehensive skill set and track record of finishing fights make her a prime candidate for a high DFS score, especially given her ability to dominate fights completely. Yan, while a significant underdog, may offer value if the fight goes the distance, but the smart money in DFS would heavily favor Zhang for a potential early finish.

Main Event: Alex Pereira vs. Jamahal Hill

  • Vegas Odds: Pereira (-125), Hill (+105)
  • DFS Salaries: Pereira ($8,300), Hill ($7,900)

Fight Breakdown:

  • Alex Pereira: A formidable striker with a background in professional kickboxing, Pereira has transitioned impressively into MMA. His knockout power is evident, and his recent ventures into light heavyweight have shown he can carry his striking force into a higher weight class effectively. Despite concerns over his grappling, Pereira has managed to hold his own against grapplers.
  • Jamahal Hill: As a former light heavyweight champion, Hill brings a balanced mix of striking and resilience. His path back to the title after an injury layoff adds a layer of uncertainty to his performance potential. Hill’s striking is powerful, but he faces a unique challenge in Pereira’s precision and power.
  • DFS Insight: This matchup is poised to be a striking clinic with both fighters capable of ending the night with a knockout. Pereira’s slight edge in technical striking and power makes him a slightly more favorable DFS play. Hill’s comeback narrative and slightly lower salary make him an intriguing underdog pick, especially if he can leverage his southpaw stance to disrupt Pereira’s rhythm.

Potential Upsets?

When considering potential upsets at UFC 300, let’s focus on the fights where the underdogs have tangible paths to victory despite the odds against them. Here are a few bouts with the highest upset potential, including their Vegas odds:

Max Holloway vs. Justin Gaethje

    • Vegas Odds: Gaethje (-175), Holloway (+145)
    • Potential for Upset: Max Holloway has proven to be one of the toughest fighters in the featherweight division, with a high-volume striking game that could trouble Gaethje if he can withstand the early power. Holloway’s experience in deep waters and ability to adjust mid-fight give him a real chance to outlast and outwork Gaethje as the fight progresses.

Jamahal Hill vs. Alex Pereira

    • Vegas Odds: Pereira (-125), Hill (+105)
    • Potential for Upset: While Pereira is favored slightly, Jamahal Hill’s chances shouldn’t be underestimated. Hill has proven knockout power and a robust striking game that could definitely pose problems for Pereira, especially if he can exploit any gaps in Pereira’s still-developing MMA game. Hill’s southpaw stance and reach parity offer strategic advantages that could lead to an upset.

Charles Oliveira vs. Arman Tsarukyan

    • Vegas Odds: Oliveira (+185), Tsarukyan (-225)
    • Potential for Upset: Despite being the underdog, Charles Oliveira’s exceptional submission game makes him a constant threat. Tsarukyan’s wrestling-based approach might play directly into Oliveira’s greatest strength on the ground. If Oliveira can manage to find an opening for a submission during one of the grappling exchanges, he could secure a victory against the odds.

Final Thoughts

As we wrap up our comprehensive preview of UFC 300, it’s clear that this landmark event is set to deliver some of the most thrilling and significant bouts in MMA history. From potential upsets to confirmed powerhouses defending their status, each fight on the card has the makings of a classic.

Thank you for sticking with us through this detailed breakdown. Whether you’re watching for the pure spectacle, scouting for your DFS lineups, or simply a fan of high-stakes martial arts action, UFC 300 promises to be an unforgettable night. We appreciate your time and enthusiasm as we all look forward to witnessing these historic battles unfold. Enjoy the fights!

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